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Paolo Banchero

F · #5 · ORL · 2022-23 to 2026-27 · 294 games played
Out Right Ankle Sprain · est. return 2026-11-22
Minutes risk: Low
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: LowNext game 2026-10-25 @ NYK · line +7.5
  • Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Ankle Sprain
35.1 ± 5.3Last-20 minutes per game (median 37.0, range 26–42, 10th pct 26.9)
38.2 / 37.3Last 5 / last 10 MPG · 2026-27 33.5 in 2 games
0% · 0% · 15%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 25% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 1536.5
Blowout (15+ either way)2331.3
Rested (1+ days off)34.8
2nd night of back-to-back1335.9
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat0 of 13
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started100% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes22.38.36.2
Actual per game (35.1 min)21.88.26.0

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2025-11-14 → 2025-12-03Left groin; strain10322024323539423436313662%78%
2025-04-11 → 2025-04-13Inflammation right ankle; soreness23533424342403095%113%
2024-11-01 → 2025-01-09Right oblique; tear34362727262929323340443374%73%
2024-02-25 → 2024-02-27N/a; illness23535323339363835363626101%96%
2022-11-09 → 2022-11-21Left ankle; sprain73436313935372733383837104%102%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2026-27ORL233.533.510.60%50%–26.026.041.0
2025-26ORL8135.136.05.31%9%35.934.931.636.4
2024-25ORL5234.836.04.50%6%32.235.431.436.5
2023-24ORL8735.235.03.90%3%35.235.332.336.4
2022-23ORL7233.834.03.60%7%32.834.030.134.6

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2022-23ORL727233.820.06.93.70.80.52.81.230.6-3.042.729.873.831-4141-28-3
2023-24ORL808035.022.66.95.40.90.63.11.534.90.045.533.972.546-3450-30
2024-25ORL464634.425.97.54.80.80.63.01.938.2-0.545.232.072.721-2521-25
2025-26ORL727234.722.28.45.20.70.63.11.235.8-0.045.930.577.538-3432-40
2026-27ORL2233.524.56.57.51041.538.5-1069.650700-20-2
Career27227234.522.47.44.80.80.63.01.434.6-0.945.031.874.2136-136144-125-3
Playoffs (career)191938.527.48.74.91.10.73.72.240.9-1.743.838.569.57-1210-9

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+10/10 100%19/20 95%2/2 100%78/81 96%282/294 96%
PTS15+9/10 90%15/20 75%1/2 50%68/81 84%252/294 86%
PTS20+6/10 60%10/20 50%1/2 50%50/81 62%190/294 65%
PTS25+5/10 50%6/20 30%1/2 50%31/81 38%106/294 36%
PTS30+3/10 30%4/20 20%1/2 50%16/81 20%58/294 20%
REB4+10/10 100%20/20 100%2/2 100%78/81 96%273/294 93%
REB6+9/10 90%16/20 80%2/2 100%63/81 78%214/294 73%
REB8+6/10 60%12/20 60%0/2 0%49/81 60%141/294 48%
REB10+2/10 20%4/20 20%0/2 0%28/81 35%69/294 23%
REB12+1/10 10%2/20 10%0/2 0%12/81 15%29/294 10%
AST3+10/10 100%20/20 100%2/2 100%71/81 88%254/294 86%
AST5+8/10 80%14/20 70%2/2 100%46/81 57%147/294 50%
AST7+4/10 40%7/20 35%1/2 50%24/81 30%64/294 22%
AST9+2/10 20%3/20 15%1/2 50%8/81 10%19/294 6%
3PM1+6/10 60%11/20 55%1/2 50%53/81 65%211/294 72%
3PM2+6/10 60%6/20 30%1/2 50%27/81 33%121/294 41%
3PM3+3/10 30%3/20 15%1/2 50%12/81 15%54/294 18%
3PM4+2/10 20%2/20 10%0/2 0%5/81 6%26/294 9%
3PM5+1/10 10%1/20 5%0/2 0%2/81 2%6/294 2%
PRA20+10/10 100%19/20 95%2/2 100%76/81 94%280/294 95%
PRA25+10/10 100%17/20 85%2/2 100%67/81 83%251/294 85%
PRA30+9/10 90%15/20 75%1/2 50%63/81 78%206/294 70%
PRA35+6/10 60%10/20 50%1/2 50%48/81 59%140/294 48%
PRA40+4/10 40%6/20 30%1/2 50%33/81 41%97/294 33%
STL1+9/10 90%14/20 70%2/2 100%42/81 52%167/294 57%
STL2+4/10 40%7/20 35%0/2 0%15/81 19%58/294 20%
BLK1+5/10 50%7/20 35%0/2 0%34/81 42%126/294 43%
BLK2+1/10 10%1/20 5%0/2 0%9/81 11%31/294 11%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games294145-14934.722.77.54.80.80.63.01.4
Last 10104-637.325.88.16.51.40.63.41.9
Last 202010-1035.121.88.26.01.10.43.71.2
2026-2720-233.524.56.57.51041.5
2025-268142-3935.122.58.45.30.80.63.11.2
Home14886-6234.621.97.44.80.80.52.91.4
Away14659-8734.923.47.64.80.90.73.21.5
Started294145-14934.722.77.54.80.80.63.01.4
Team won145145-034.522.77.85.10.80.62.81.6
Team lost1490-14935.022.67.14.50.80.63.31.3
Team favored13286-4634.422.57.65.20.80.63.01.4
Team underdog16059-10135.022.87.44.50.90.63.11.4
Back-to-back (2nd night)4618-2834.322.46.84.60.80.62.61.5
1 day rest188101-8734.922.77.64.90.80.63.11.4
2+ days rest5523-3234.522.37.44.90.80.53.51.4
Playoffs197-1238.527.48.74.91.10.73.72.2

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
CLE207-1336.826.47.74.20.80.63.71.9
DET1911-835.723.77.95.110.63.11.3
BOS177-1035.724.66.94.40.50.43.22.1
ATL165-1135.523.17.74.80.90.83.11.5
WAS1512-333.623.17.65.90.20.62.91.3
CHA1410-432.522.96.65.910.52.11.6
MIA148-634.620.68.84.40.60.32.71.4
MIL135-83322.37.340.50.52.82.2
TOR136-735.221.47.350.80.63.31.7
CHI116-534.320.47.54.30.70.731
PHI112-935.419.87.84.50.412.80.9
NYK105-531.321.16.23.21.10.82.31.5
IND96-335.329.474.11.213.11.4
BKN85-335.420.17.160.60.52.81.1
DEN84-434.518.87.85.81.112.41.1
MEM82-633.521.68.54.910.92.51.9
POR85-334.917.973.410.630.8
SAC84-435.627.86.95.80.80.42.62.1
GSW72-534.324.18.14.610.43.91.7
HOU72-534.7237.151.10.32.61.1
LAL73-433.720.16.44.90.70.42.91.1
MIN74-332.9227.14.310.130.9
NOP77-034.424.69.35.61.60.43.11.1
SAS75-232.920.97.64.410.331.3
UTA74-335.722.77.45.61.6141.3
DAL62-435.522.87.75.30.804.31.3
LAC63-336.219.264.31.50.24.20.5
OKC61-535.5227.360.50.53.21
PHX52-338.223.48.86.60.4141.2

Team with him vs without him

SeasonTeamMPGWith: GW-LATSMarginWithout: GW-LATSMargin
2025-26ORL35.18142-3937-44-0.6107-36-4+8.9
2024-25ORL34.85223-2924-28-1.83620-1621-15+1.2
2023-24ORL35.28749-3854-33+2.121-11-1+5.0
2022-23ORL33.87231-4141-28-1.973-44-3-3.1

Best on-court partners (2025-26+)

Minutes together and net rating per 100 possessions (pbpstats).

WithSeasonMin+/-Net
Desmond Bane2025-261761+83+3.0
Wendell Carter Jr.2025-261760+101+3.2
Anthony Black2025-261375-48-0.1
Tristan da Silva2025-261206+84+4.0
Jalen Suggs2025-261034+165+7.0
Goga Bitadze2025-26458-62-4.1
Franz Wagner2025-26428+40+4.1
Tyus Jones2025-26361-99-12.5
Jevon Carter2025-26333-48-7.0
Jett Howard2025-26292-80-12.7
Noah Penda2025-26249-105-16.4
Jalen Suggs2025-26 P240-22-1.9
Jase Richardson2025-26238+18+4.9
Jamal Cain2025-26225+19+5.7
Wendell Carter Jr.2025-26 P212-8-1.4
Desmond Bane2025-26 P193+1+0.5
Moritz Wagner2025-26152-15-4.1

Teammates he wins with (both started)

TeammateTeamGW-LATSMargin
Franz WagnerORL224114-110125-96+0.6
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL222111-111116-104-0.1
Jalen SuggsORL15482-7281-73+1.1
Desmond BaneORL8342-4137-46-1.0
Markelle FultzORL7638-3847-27-0.3
Anthony BlackORL7640-3637-39-1.3
Gary HarrisORL7440-3447-26+1.5
Kentavious Caldwell-PopeORL4922-2722-27-1.5
Goga BitadzeORL4523-2226-19-0.0
Tristan da SilvaORL3213-1916-16-4.7
Bol BolORL2510-1514-9-3.6
Cole AnthonyORL227-159-13-5.7
Cory JosephORL2112-913-8+3.1

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-10-25ORLOutRight Low Grade High Ankle Sprain–––
2025-12-05ORLAvailableLeft Groin; StrainYes209
2025-12-03ORLOutLeft Groin; strain–––
2025-12-01ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-28ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-25ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-23ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-22ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-20ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-18ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-16ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-11-14ORLOutLeft Groin; Strain–––
2025-04-13ORLOutRight Ankle; Soreness–––
2025-04-11ORLOutInflammation Right Ankle; Soreness–––
2025-01-10ORLAvailableReturn to Competition ReconditioningYes2734
2025-01-09ORLQuestionableReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2025-01-06ORLOutReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2025-01-05ORLOutReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2025-01-03ORLOutReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2025-01-01ORLOutReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2024-12-29ORLOutReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2024-12-27ORLOutReturn to Competition Reconditioning–––
2024-12-26ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-23ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-21ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-19ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-15ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-10ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-08ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-06ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-04ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-03ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-12-01ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-29ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-27ORLOutManagement Right Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-25ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-23ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-21ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-20ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-18ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-15ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-13ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-12ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-10ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-08ORLOutRight Oblique; Torn–––
2024-11-06ORLOutRight Oblique; Tear–––
2024-11-04ORLOutRight Oblique; Tear–––
2024-11-03ORLOutRight Oblique; Tear–––
2024-11-01ORLOutRight Oblique; Tear–––
2024-02-29ORLQuestionableN/a; IllnessYes3529
2024-02-27ORLQuestionableN/a; Illness–––
2024-02-25ORLOutN/a; Illness–––
2024-02-22ORLQuestionableN/a; IllnessYes3412
2023-12-01ORLAvailableRight Ankle; SprainYes3828
2023-04-09ORLOutBack; Tightness–––
2023-04-07ORLQuestionableBack; Tightness–––
2023-04-06ORLOutBack; Tightness–––
2022-11-21ORLOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-11-19ORLOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-11-18ORLOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-11-16ORLOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-11-14ORLOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-11-11ORLOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-11-09ORLOutLeft Ankle; SprainNo––

Games missed while on the roster (1)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2022-11-09ORLDALLEFT ANKLE SPRAINW

Game log (last 120 of 294 — full log in player vs team)

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-10-23MIN93-115L-1.5L2614651020611224063-1125
2026-10-21ATL125-132L-2.5L41357101063101241216162-952
2026-05-03 POST@DET94-116L+8.5L42389601541425768274-1853
2026-05-01 POSTDET79-93L+3.5L411710620104209912193-833
2026-04-29 POST@DET109-116L+11.5W4145972066173111512272061
2026-04-27 POSTDET94-88W+3.5W401884112041841013082830
2026-04-25 POSTDET113-105W+1.5W38251293232617511142103646
2026-04-22 POST@DET83-98L+8.5L3418681140717248153-1532
2026-04-19 POST@DET112-101W+8.5W37239410328154571811036
2026-04-17 PICHA121-90W+2.5W33255621229176580521736
2026-04-15 PI@PHI97-109L+1.5L3618540160722546143-1727
2026-04-12@BOS108-113L-12.5L3823101100607225911463244
2026-04-10@CHI127-103W-16.5W27149720415104360912130
2026-04-08MIN132-120W-11.5W29208610218111350801234
2026-04-06DET123-107W+1.5W38315330211016210101422339
2026-04-05@NOP112-108W-6.5L38231662150614311153133-145
2026-04-03@DAL138-127W-6.5W3110750031410115075-922
2026-04-01ATL101-130L+2.5L261183103039156173-1822
2026-03-31PHX115-111W-2.5W37199800416143690941436
2026-03-29@TOR87-139L+1.5L309530050314534142-3017
2026-03-26SAC121-117W-15.5L38309700111122478452546
2026-03-24@CLE131-136L+10.5W4036651153101971315154-347
2026-03-23IND126-128L-10.5L373946105413279912040-449
2026-03-21LAL104-105L+2.5W3616563130414388233-1827
2026-03-19@CHA111-130L+5.5L2820371131616578213-2330
2026-03-17OKC108-113L+9.5W363210510431221656282947
2026-03-16@ATL112-124L+3.5L33181030221313211160102-1631
2026-03-14@MIA121-117W+4.5W372787004181431010263-242
2026-03-12WAS136-131W-14.5L421810500304132101401011133
2026-03-11CLE128-122W+3.5W37258700228186790811140
2026-03-08@MIL130-91W-6.5W293353011312166690512741
2026-03-07@MIN119-92W+6.5W35251530051101854421331543
2026-03-05DAL115-114W-7.5L36161262061717612390034
2026-03-03WAS126-109W-15.5W323756002115212671432648
2026-03-01DET92-106L+5.5L3824112109151041316382-2537
2026-02-26HOU108-113L+2.5L37198911006162710171-736
2026-02-24@LAL110-109W+6.5W38361060042122261011283652
2026-02-22@LAC111-109W+4.5W3716780020616145071-531
2026-02-21@PHX110-113L+3.5W47261480460112824421201048
2026-02-19@SAC131-94W-8.5W323056113510217551433241
2026-02-11MIL108-116L-11.5L3917420002516658131-323
2026-02-09MIL118-99W-9.5W33119300223104340921423
2026-02-07UTA120-117W-7.5L38237831526177912070-238
2026-02-05BKN118-98W-9.5W31225402108132680511431
2026-02-03@OKC92-128L+11.5L3317340021617444122-2924
2026-02-01@SAS103-112L+4.5L35191041041612168281-3033
2026-01-30TOR130-120W-2.5W412096213151119110921835
2026-01-28@MIA133-124W+3.5W38311241111112338104812747
2026-01-26@CLE98-114L+4.5L4037104002213215913461-1451
2026-01-24CLE105-119L-1.5L382752002371461012052-634
2026-01-22CHA97-124L-3.5L30237510426124912251-2535
2026-01-18@MEM109-126L-2.5L3616890041720411260-733
2026-01-15MEM118-111W-5.5W3726134402491684431021343
2026-01-11NOP128-118W-7.5W392388114071629102641839
2026-01-09PHI91-103L+3.5L371411701406183221101-732
2026-01-07@BKN104-103W-2.5L4330146009111194782121-350
2026-01-06@WAS112-120L-7.5L2514440041510335042-2222
2026-01-04IND135-127W-6.5W362812510139185790121045
2026-01-02@CHI114-121L-5.5L35316621321323537062-743
2025-12-31@IND112-110W-4.5L3529104135012211570102243
2025-12-29@TOR106-107L-1.5L3823151001129194343121-448
2025-12-27DEN127-126W+3.5W3612660030613204064-1124
2025-12-26CHA105-120L-5.5L3113522110413256143-1120
2025-12-23@POR110-106W-1.5W361263001048044153721
2025-12-22@GSW97-120L+6.5L342112700407194781112-840
2025-12-20@UTA128-127W-7.5L422399022161841015184141
2025-12-18@DEN115-126L+6.5L39261610102092148122141-652
2025-12-13NYK120-132L+3.5L35258310501022756172-536
2025-12-09MIA117-108W-1.5W3218740132513567163-129
2025-12-07@NYK100-106L+1.5L2416120013411656012-1019
2025-12-05MIA106-105W-6.5L20962001138222150617
2025-11-12@NYK124-107W+3.5W12442111014022130910
2025-11-10POR115-112W-2.5W352893102210183610094-740
2025-11-09BOS107-111L-3.5L352864006091651010065738
2025-11-07BOS123-110W-3.5W36159411214103681802528
2025-11-04@ATL112-127L-3.5L37221181030616410121104241
2025-11-01@WAS125-94W-9.5W2628114023391567711021943
2025-10-30@CHA123-107W-3.5W3320992012812426182938
2025-10-29@DET116-135L-1.5L3524117114071631017473-1042
2025-10-27@PHI124-136L-6.5L3832750321101841111163-1544
2025-10-25CHI98-110L-6.5L362410112317214911192-235
2025-10-24ATL107-111L-5.5L3611610030415535063-1018
2025-10-22MIA125-121W-8.5L3524111112171739120111-236
2025-04-29 POST@BOS89-120L+11.5L3019960032615457275-1534
2025-04-27 POSTBOS98-107L+7.5L40317301421232659345-841
2025-04-25 POSTBOS95-93W+4.5W42296120421025478244-336
2025-04-23 POST@BOS100-109L+10.5W433297020212256611274-648
2025-04-20 POST@BOS86-103L+12.5L423611411441427746380-451
2025-04-15 PIATL120-95W-6.5W331797113041339110931833
2025-04-09BOS96-76W-7.5W2915460012617712221425
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