NFL 2026 β Week 7 matchups
Lines are the latest consensus numbers in nflverse. Each card shows season ATS/O-U form, H2H history since 2016, EPA ranks and who's Out/Doubtful.
π― The Bets to Take this week β only angles that held up out-of-sample Β· Long Shot Tickets Β· Expose the Books
Spread: SF β2.5
Total 49.5ML SF -155 / ATL +130
| SF | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 6-0 | 2-4 |
| 2026 ATS | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Road / home ATS | 2-0 road | 0-3 home |
| 2026 O/U | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WWWWW / WLWWL | LWWLL / LWWLL |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #1 (1/6) | #19 (21/16) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 2-3 / 2-3 | 3-2 / 3-2 |
| H2H O/U | 2-3 (5 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Nick Bosa DE, Luke Gifford LB, Garret Wallow LB, Marques Sigle S, Mike Evans WR, Deebo Samuel Sr. WR | Billy Bowman Jr. CB, Divine Deablo LB, Brian Robinson RB, Michael Jerrell T, Cameron Williams T, Beaux Collins WR |
Spread: CIN β3.0
Total 46.5ML CIN -162 / BAL +136
| CIN | BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| 2026 ATS | 2-2-1 | 2-3-1 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-1-1 road | 0-2 home |
| 2026 O/U | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WWLLW / WWLLP | LWWWL / LPLWL |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #7 (9/15) | #4 (7/14) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 8-13 / 10-10-1 | 13-8 / 10-10-1 |
| H2H O/U | 12-9 (21 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | β | T.J. Tampa CB, Tavius Robinson LB, Lamar Jackson QB, Jaylinn Hawkins S |
Spread: CAR β3.0
Total 44.5ML TB +140 / CAR -166
| TB | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| 2026 ATS | 1-4-1 | 3-2 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-1 road | 1-1 home |
| 2026 O/U | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | LLLWL / LLPWL | LWLWW / LWLWW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #21 (29/4) | #5 (6/17) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 14-6 / 11-9 | 6-14 / 9-11 |
| H2H O/U | 9-11 (20 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Antoine Winfield Jr. S, Luke Goedeke T, Emeka Egbuka WR | Jaelan Phillips LB, Thomas Incoom LB |
Spread: HOU β10.0
Total 42.5ML NYG +390 / HOU -520
| NYG | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 3-2-1 | 2-4 |
| 2026 ATS | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-1 road | 0-3 home |
| 2026 O/U | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | LWWTL / LWWWL | LLLWW / LLLWW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #22 (18/21) | #13 (13/18) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 2-0 / 2-0 | 0-2 / 0-2 |
| H2H O/U | 1-1 (2 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Theo Johnson TE, Greg Newsome II CB, Tremaine Edmunds LB, Jevon Holland S | David Montgomery RB, Reed Blankenship S, Jalen Pitre S, Blake Fisher T |
Spread: MIN β6.5
Total 41.5ML IND +260 / MIN -325
| IND | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| 2026 ATS | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Road / home ATS | 2-1 road | 1-1 home |
| 2026 O/U | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | LWWLL / WWWLL | WWWWW / WWWLW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #28 (22/26) | #6 (27/1) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 2-2 / 3-1 | 2-2 / 1-3 |
| H2H O/U | 1-3 (4 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Sauce Gardner CB, CJ Allen LB, Tyler Warren TE, Anthony Gould WR | β |
Spread: NYJ β3.5
Total 39.5ML MIA +180 / NYJ -218
| MIA | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| 2026 ATS | 1-3-1 | 4-1-1 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-2 road | 2-0 home |
| 2026 O/U | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | LLLLL / LLLWP | LLLWL / WPLWW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #32 (28/29) | #16 (19/8) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 16-4 / 14-5-1 | 4-16 / 5-14-1 |
| H2H O/U | 11-9 (20 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Rob Beal Jr. DE, Reese Taylor CB | Joseph Ossai DE, Francisco Mauigoa LB, Max Mitchell T |
Spread: CLE β1.5
Total 36.5ML CLE -130 / TEN +110
| CLE | TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| 2026 ATS | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-2 road | 1-2 home |
| 2026 O/U | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WWWLW / WWWLW | LLLLW / WLWLW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #23 (26/13) | #30 (31/23) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 2-4 / 4-2 | 4-2 / 2-4 |
| H2H O/U | 4-2 (6 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Kalia Davis DT, Mike Hall Jr. DT, Teven Jenkins G, Dillon Gabriel QB | β |
Spread: DEN β4.5
Total 43.5ML DEN -238 / ARI +195
| DEN | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| 2026 ATS | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-2 road | 0-2 home |
| 2026 O/U | 1-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WWLWW / WWLWW | LLLLW / LWLLW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #20 (25/9) | #26 (17/28) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 2-0 / 2-0 | 0-2 / 0-2 |
| H2H O/U | 2-0 (2 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Jonah Elliss LB, Tyler Badie RB, Talanoa Hufanga S | Walter Nolen DT, Jon Gaines II G, Jeremiyah Love RB, Andrew Wingard S |
Spread: DET β3.5
Total 55.5ML GB +150 / DET -180
| GB | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| 2026 ATS | 2-3-1 | 1-3-1 |
| Road / home ATS | 0-2-1 road | 0-1-1 home |
| 2026 O/U | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WLWWW / LLPWW | WLWLW / LLPLW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #12 (15/7) | #15 (3/31) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 10-10 / 7-12-1 | 10-10 / 12-7-1 |
| H2H O/U | 12-8 (20 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Zaire Franklin LB | β |
Spread: LA β3.5
Total 48.5ML LA -185 / LV +154
| LA | LV | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| 2026 ATS | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-1 road | 3-0 home |
| 2026 O/U | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WLWLL / WLWLL | WWLLL / WWWLW |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #8 (12/10) | #17 (14/22) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 3-0 / 2-1 | 0-3 / 1-2 |
| H2H O/U | 0-3 (3 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Nate Landman LB | Carter Runyon TE, Dont'e Thornton Jr. WR |
Spread: SEA β3.0
Total 42.5ML KC +124 / SEA -148
| KC | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 5-0 | 3-3 |
| 2026 ATS | 3-2 | 1-3-2 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-1 road | 0-1-2 home |
| 2026 O/U | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WWWWW / WLWLW | WLWLL / WLPLL |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #2 (5/3) | #10 (24/2) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 1-1 / 1-1 | 1-1 / 1-1 |
| H2H O/U | 1-1 (2 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Brashard Smith RB, Jaylon Moore T, Rashee Rice WR | Chazz Surratt LB, Drake Thomas LB, Zach Charbonnet RB |
Spread: DAL β4.5
Total 43.5ML DAL -218 / PHI +180
| DAL | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 SU | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| 2026 ATS | 2-3-1 | 1-5 |
| Road / home ATS | 1-2 road | 0-3 home |
| 2026 O/U | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 SU / ATS | WLWLL / WPWLL | WLLLL / LLLWL |
| Net EPA rank (off/def) | #25 (8/32) | #31 (30/27) |
| H2H since 2016 SU / ATS | 11-9 / 12-8 | 9-11 / 8-12 |
| H2H O/U | 10-10 (20 games) | |
| Out / Doubtful | Dee Winters LB, Drew Shelton T, KaVontae Turpin WR | Michael Carter II CB, Nolan Smith LB, DeVonta Smith WR, Dontayvion Wicks WR |
Latest results
| Date | Matchup | Score | Closing spread | Home ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | PIT @ NO | 16-10 | PIT β3.0 | L | 43.5 (26) | U |
| Oct 22 | NE @ CHI | 24-30 | CHI β3.0 | W | 50.5 (54) | O |
| Oct 19 | WAS @ SF | 17-23 | SF β7.5 | L | 51.5 (40) | U |
| Oct 18 | NO @ NYG | 34-27 | NO β1.5 | L | 46.5 (61) | O |
| Oct 18 | HOU @ JAX | 34-31 | JAX β2.5 | L | 42.5 (65) | O |
| Oct 18 | CHI @ ATL | 31-23 | CHI β1.5 | L | 51.5 (54) | O |
| Oct 18 | BAL @ CLE | 10-13 | BAL β3.0 | W | 39.5 (23) | U |
| Oct 18 | NYJ @ NE | 19-26 | NE β7.5 | L | 43.5 (45) | O |
| Oct 18 | TEN @ IND | 26-20 | IND β6.5 | L | 43.5 (46) | O |
| Oct 18 | CAR @ PHI | 25-14 | CAR β3.0 | L | 39.5 (39) | U |
| Oct 18 | PIT @ TB | 26-19 | PIT β2.5 | L | 38.5 (45) | O |
| Oct 18 | ARI @ LA | 18-16 | LA β12.5 | L | 51.5 (34) | U |
| Oct 18 | LAC @ KC | 6-22 | KC β7.5 | W | 41.5 (28) | U |
| Oct 18 | BUF @ LV | 33-30 | BUF β5.5 | W | 53.5 (63) | O |
| Oct 18 | DAL @ GB | 13-23 | DAL β1.5 | W | 53.5 (36) | U |
| Oct 15 | SEA @ DEN | 14-17 | SEA β2.5 | W | 40.5 (31) | U |