NBA Minutes Risk

A player prop can look good on paper and still lose because the coach limits his minutes: a back-to-back, a blowout, a return from injury, a role change. This page lists the players whose minutes have been least reliable and the situations where minutes have dropped in the past. It's all facts from past box scores and ESPN injury notes. These aren't predictions or picks.

How the badge works: each flag below is a plain rule. Volatile: std dev 8+ min or 30%+ of his last 20 games were 6+ min under his median. Trending down: his last-5 average is 4+ min below his season average. Returning: one of his first 5 games back after missing 3+. Restriction news: ESPN's note mentions a minutes restriction or limit. Back-to-back: the next game is the 2nd night and he has played 3+ fewer minutes on those nights, or sat 2+ times. Blowout risk: the spread is 10+ and he plays 4+ fewer minutes in 15+ point games. High = 2+ flags, restriction news, or one of his first 3 games back after missing 6+. Medium = 1 flag.

Upcoming games (2026-10-25 and the next day) — players averaging 18+ min

Risk	Player	Team	Game	Line	L20 MPG	± sd	L5	B2B MPG	Blowout MPG	Why
Minutes risk: High	Caleb Love	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	19.7	11.8	2.8	24.0	24.6	Volatile: last 20: ±11.8 min std dev, 40% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 2.8 min vs 20.3 \| Returning: game 1 back after missing 6 (Not listed (end of last season)); minutes so far 1 vs 14 before
Minutes risk: High	Keegan Murray	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	32.6	8.4	26.6	37.7	29.5	Volatile: last 20: ±8.4 min std dev, 20% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 26.6 min vs 34.0 \| Returning: game 2 back after missing 22 (Left Ankle; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 28,26 vs 31 before \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Ankle
Minutes risk: High	Will Richard	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	19.8	10.9	15.0	23.4	21.2	Volatile: last 20: ±10.9 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 15.0 min vs 19.6
Minutes risk: High	Jake LaRavia	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	22.5	8.8	13.4	26.9	24.7	Volatile: last 20: ±8.8 min std dev, 10% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 13.4 min vs 24.1
Minutes risk: High	Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	27.4	8.5	20.8	29.8	27.3	Volatile: last 20: ±8.5 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 20.8 min vs 30.2 \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Achilles Surgery
Minutes risk: High	Nick Richards	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	20.4	8.5	14.2	18.1	12.8	Volatile: last 20: ±8.5 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Returning: game 2 back after missing 10 (Right Elbow; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 3,3 vs 23 before
Minutes risk: High	Isaiah Collier	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	29.1	8.4	23.4	24.4	24.8	Volatile: last 20: ±8.4 min std dev, 20% of games 6+ min under his median \| Returning: game 2 back after missing 13 (Left Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 16,18 vs 27 before
Minutes risk: High	Kevin Huerter	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	20.5	8.2	12.4	24.7	23.3	Volatile: last 20: ±8.2 min std dev, 10% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 12.4 min vs 21.8 \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 10 (Left Adductor; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 18,20 vs 18 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: High	Peyton Watson	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	31.1	8.2	22.6	30.0	25.8	Volatile: last 20: ±8.2 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 22.6 min vs 29.6 \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 11 (Right Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 30,31 vs 27 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: High	Zach Edey	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	25.2	7.1	24.8	–	22.7	Returning: game 2 back after missing 58 (Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery (end of last season)); minutes so far 21,22 vs 26 before \| Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "injury management" \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Ankle
Minutes risk: High	Nolan Traore	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	20.5	6.8	14.8	20.0	22.1	Volatile: last 20: ±6.8 min std dev, 40% of games 6+ min under his median \| Trending down: last 5 avg 14.8 min vs 21.8
Minutes risk: High	Steven Adams	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	22.4	6.5	20.6	–	19.5	Returning: game 1 back after missing 48 (Left Ankle; Surgery (end of last season)); minutes so far 9 vs 26 before \| Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "injury management" \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Left Ankle
Minutes risk: High	Aaron Nesmith	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	28.3	6.3	29.4	29.8	24.7	Returning: game 1 back after missing 8 (Cervical; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 20 vs 30 before \| Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "limited minutes" \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Left Hamstring Strain
Minutes risk: High	Coby White	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	19.8	3.1	19.0	25.1	21.6	Trending down: last 5 avg 19.0 min vs 24.8 \| Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "ramping up" \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Calf Strain
Minutes risk: High	Al Horford	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	23.8	6.5	20.6	25.0	20.1	Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "injury management" \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Back
Minutes risk: High	Anfernee Simons	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	26.1	6.1	21.2	24.1	24.4	Returning: game 3 back after missing 25 (Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture (end of last season)); minutes so far 25,17,20 vs 27 before
Minutes risk: High	Kon Knueppel	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	30.2	4.8	31.6	32.1	28.4	Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "ramping up" \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Hamstring
Minutes risk: High	Luka Doncic	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	35.9	4.5	33.2	34.2	32.9	Returning: game 2 back after missing 15 (Left Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 30,37 vs 37 before
Minutes risk: High	Santi Aldama	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	30.0	4.4	27.8	24.8	25.4	Restriction news: ESPN note mentions "ramp up" \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Knee Surgery
Minutes risk: High	Scotty Pippen Jr.	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	20.8	2.0	20.8	21.0	20.8	Returning: game 2 back after missing 20 (Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery (end of last season)); minutes so far 20,17 vs 21 before
Minutes risk: Medium	Ethan Thompson	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	20.2	13.8	33.2	24.0	20.4	Volatile: last 20: ±13.8 min std dev, 45% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Cormac Ryan	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	24.5	12.9	32.0	27.7	22.2	Volatile: last 20: ±12.9 min std dev, 36% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Leaky Black	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	28.8	11.8	29.6	30.5	25.7	Volatile: last 20: ±11.8 min std dev, 33% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Malachi Smith	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	23.9	10.9	35.4	33.5	23.6	Volatile: last 20: ±10.9 min std dev, 13% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Cody Williams	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	31.9	10.8	22.6	24.6	22.9	Volatile: last 20: ±10.8 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Taelon Peter	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	18.9	10.8	19.6	16.2	12.6	Volatile: last 20: ±10.8 min std dev, 20% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Terrence Shannon Jr.	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	18.6	10.6	20.2	18.2	15.1	Volatile: last 20: ±10.6 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Anthony Gill	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	25.2	10.5	24.2	20.7	17.0	Volatile: last 20: ±10.5 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Elijah Harkless	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	24.1	10.4	33.2	19.0	19.7	Volatile: last 20: ±10.4 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Bez Mbeng	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	32.9	10.4	37.2	26.0	34.4	Volatile: last 20: ±10.4 min std dev, 27% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Pat Spencer	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	21.2	10.2	15.8	20.2	16.5	Volatile: last 20: ±10.2 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Jalen Wilson	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	18.1	10.2	28.4	19.4	15.2	Volatile: last 20: ±10.2 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Will Riley	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	29.4	10.2	21.2	22.9	21.6	Volatile: last 20: ±10.2 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Ryan Nembhard	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	19.9	10.2	25.6	20.6	21.8	Volatile: last 20: ±10.2 min std dev, 35% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Rayan Rupert	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	26.9	10.2	35.2	17.4	19.5	Volatile: last 20: ±10.2 min std dev, 20% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Nique Clifford	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	31.9	10.0	26.4	29.1	28.6	Volatile: last 20: ±10.0 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Pete Nance	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	22.6	9.9	28.0	20.6	16.1	Volatile: last 20: ±9.9 min std dev, 40% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Jalen Slawson	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	23.4	9.7	24.2	26.0	23.5	Volatile: last 20: ±9.7 min std dev, 36% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Anthony Black	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	25.2	9.7	30.0	30.2	26.8	Volatile: last 20: ±9.7 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Right Ankle Sprain
Minutes risk: Medium	Kobe Brown	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	22.6	9.7	23.6	18.4	14.3	Volatile: last 20: ±9.7 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Devin Carter	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	24.6	9.5	31.6	19.7	17.1	Volatile: last 20: ±9.5 min std dev, 35% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Illness
Minutes risk: Medium	Spencer Jones	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	19.1	9.2	21.8	26.4	19.2	Volatile: last 20: ±9.2 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Hamstring
Minutes risk: Medium	Cade Cunningham	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	34.7	9.2	36.6	33.5	30.3	Volatile: last 20: ±9.2 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	AJ Green	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	26.9	9.1	25.6	28.3	27.8	Volatile: last 20: ±9.1 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Kam Jones	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	21.7	9.1	21.0	20.9	16.2	Volatile: last 20: ±9.1 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Kel'el Ware	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	21.4	9.0	25.8	22.6	23.6	Volatile: last 20: ±9.0 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Jalen Green	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	30.4	8.9	34.0	22.8	27.4	Volatile: last 20: ±8.9 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	John Poulakidas	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	19.5	8.8	24.2	25.0	24.0	Volatile: last 20: ±8.8 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Jericho Sims	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	24.2	8.8	27.8	23.0	19.8	Volatile: last 20: ±8.8 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Luke Kennard	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	28.7	8.6	25.2	21.2	24.0	Volatile: last 20: ±8.6 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Chaney Johnson	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	19.8	8.5	19.4	24.0	23.1	Volatile: last 20: ±8.5 min std dev, 26% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Reed Sheppard	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	27.8	8.5	29.2	27.3	25.6	Volatile: last 20: ±8.5 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Daniss Jenkins	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	22.4	8.4	24.6	23.6	20.9	Volatile: last 20: ±8.4 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Anthony Davis	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	30.9	8.4	33.6	33.8	28.0	Volatile: last 20: ±8.4 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median \| Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 44 (Left Finger; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 34,32,31 vs 33 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Jared McCain	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	18.4	8.4	24.6	17.6	19.0	Volatile: last 20: ±8.4 min std dev, 20% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Sharife Cooper	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	18.4	8.3	18.6	20.0	18.1	Volatile: last 20: ±8.3 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Jamir Watkins	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	23.6	8.3	31.8	25.2	21.1	Volatile: last 20: ±8.3 min std dev, 15% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Knee Surgery
Minutes risk: Medium	Trae Young	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	27.3	8.3	30.8	31.7	27.3	Volatile: last 20: ±8.3 min std dev, 39% of games 6+ min under his median \| Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 15 (Vein Thrombosis Low Back; Pain; Right Quad Contusion (end of last season)); minutes so far 38,37,34 vs 24 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Tari Eason	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	26.4	8.2	25.8	25.4	22.9	Volatile: last 20: ±8.2 min std dev, 10% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Tobias Harris	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	29.9	8.1	32.2	27.3	24.3	Volatile: last 20: ±8.1 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Calf Strain
Minutes risk: Medium	Baylor Scheierman	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	19.5	8.0	15.0	18.7	20.4	Volatile: last 20: ±8.0 min std dev, 20% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Bam Adebayo	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	33.6	7.9	26.6	32.6	29.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 26.6 min vs 32.0
Minutes risk: Medium	DeMar DeRozan	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	28.1	7.8	24.0	30.4	25.4	Trending down: last 5 avg 24.0 min vs 31.2
Minutes risk: Medium	Johnny Furphy	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	20.8	7.7	20.4	23.2	19.0	Volatile: last 20: ±7.7 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Knee Surgery
Minutes risk: Medium	Malik Monk	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	21.1	7.7	15.2	20.6	21.2	Trending down: last 5 avg 15.2 min vs 21.8
Minutes risk: Medium	Jalen Williams	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	24.9	7.7	23.4	31.4	26.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 23.4 min vs 27.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Rui Hachimura	LAC	10-25 @ OKC	+16.5	33.6	7.6	37.2	25.4	27.1	Blowout risk: spread 16.5; he averages 27.1 min in 15+ pt games vs 31.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Cooper Flagg	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	32.0	7.3	24.8	33.1	27.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 24.8 min vs 33.3 \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Shoulder Sprain
Minutes risk: Medium	Cameron Johnson	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	29.8	7.2	25.2	27.3	27.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 25.2 min vs 30.1 \| Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Right Ankle Sprain
Minutes risk: Medium	Zach LaVine	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	29.9	7.1	29.6	31.0	29.6	Volatile: last 20: ±7.1 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 29 (Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair (end of last season)); minutes so far 34,39 vs 27 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Kyshawn George	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	25.9	7.0	25.6	30.6	27.8	Volatile: last 20: ±7.0 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 22 (Left Elbow; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 29,26,36 vs 20 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Alex Caruso	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	21.6	6.9	26.6	18.4	15.5	Blowout risk: spread 16.5; he averages 15.5 min in 15+ pt games vs 22.8
Minutes risk: Medium	D'Angelo Russell	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	18.1	6.9	13.8	19.4	18.0	Trending down: last 5 avg 13.8 min vs 19.0
Minutes risk: Medium	Anthony Edwards	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	31.9	6.8	36.2	35.4	31.5	Volatile: last 20: ±6.8 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Miles McBride	NYK	10-25 vs ORL	-7.5	18.1	6.7	14.6	27.4	21.2	Trending down: last 5 avg 14.6 min vs 23.7
Minutes risk: Medium	Paul George	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	33.9	6.6	34.6	29.7	28.8	Volatile: last 20: ±6.6 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Isaac Okoro	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	27.9	6.6	22.4	26.1	25.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 22.4 min vs 26.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Deandre Ayton	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	25.4	6.5	18.0	28.1	26.5	Trending down: last 5 avg 18.0 min vs 27.0
Minutes risk: Medium	Keyonte George	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	29.8	6.4	26.8	34.1	30.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 26.8 min vs 33.0 \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 16 (Management Right Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 29,32 vs 27 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Drake Powell	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	25.0	6.3	28.6	22.0	20.6	Back-to-back: next game is 2nd night; his B2B avg 22.0 vs 21.0 rested; 2 rest DNPs on B2Bs
Minutes risk: Medium	Dyson Daniels	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	30.4	6.3	25.4	32.2	30.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 25.4 min vs 32.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Lauri Markkanen	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	33.2	6.3	29.6	34.4	31.4	Trending down: last 5 avg 29.6 min vs 34.4 \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 24 (Right Hip; Impingement (end of last season)); minutes so far 36,34 vs 29 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Noah Clowney	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	23.5	6.3	20.6	26.7	24.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 20.6 min vs 26.8 \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 5 (Left Ankle; Injury Management (end of last season)); minutes so far 22,20 vs 20 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Jerami Grant	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	27.7	6.2	24.6	30.4	27.0	Trending down: last 5 avg 24.6 min vs 28.9
Minutes risk: Medium	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	34.8	6.2	35.8	34.0	30.0	Blowout risk: spread 16.5; he averages 30.0 min in 15+ pt games vs 36.9
Minutes risk: Medium	Jalen Duren	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	29.2	5.9	23.6	29.6	26.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 23.6 min vs 28.3 \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Hamstring Strain
Minutes risk: Medium	Immanuel Quickley	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	30.2	5.8	23.0	32.8	29.7	Trending down: last 5 avg 23.0 min vs 31.9 \| Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 7 (Right Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 28,29 vs 28 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Medium	Grayson Allen	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	24.8	5.8	24.2	27.3	25.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 24.2 min vs 28.4
Minutes risk: Medium	Dylan Cardwell	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	21.6	5.8	24.4	21.2	23.8	Volatile: last 20: ±5.8 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Calf Strain
Minutes risk: Medium	Ryan Rollins	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	31.1	5.6	29.6	30.3	30.4	Volatile: last 20: ±5.6 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
Minutes risk: Medium	Sandro Mamukelashvili	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	19.4	5.5	16.8	22.8	21.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 16.8 min vs 21.4
Minutes risk: Medium	Royce O'Neale	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	22.3	5.5	17.0	26.7	25.8	Trending down: last 5 avg 17.0 min vs 27.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Josh Giddey	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	32.5	5.4	27.6	32.1	29.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 27.6 min vs 31.8
Minutes risk: Medium	Vince Williams Jr.	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	19.1	5.4	14.8	17.5	18.0	Trending down: last 5 avg 14.8 min vs 20.5
Minutes risk: Medium	Tim Hardaway Jr.	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	23.4	5.3	20.0	25.8	22.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 20.0 min vs 26.3
Minutes risk: Medium	John Collins	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	24.4	5.1	21.8	28.2	25.5	Trending down: last 5 avg 21.8 min vs 27.0
Minutes risk: Medium	Khris Middleton	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	18.1	5.1	15.4	20.7	21.6	Trending down: last 5 avg 15.4 min vs 22.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Tre Jones	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	26.1	4.8	20.0	26.6	24.8	Trending down: last 5 avg 20.0 min vs 26.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Cam Spencer	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	22.7	4.6	18.6	24.5	23.9	Trending down: last 5 avg 18.6 min vs 23.6
Minutes risk: Medium	Chet Holmgren	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	29.6	4.6	29.2	27.1	26.4	Blowout risk: spread 16.5; he averages 26.4 min in 15+ pt games vs 31.5
Minutes risk: Medium	Ben Sheppard	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	20.8	4.3	20.2	21.6	22.0	Returning: game 1 back after missing 5 (Right Hip; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 12 vs 20 before \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Knee
Minutes risk: Medium	Quentin Grimes	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	22.9	4.2	24.0	28.5	25.5	Trending down: last 5 avg 24.0 min vs 28.5
Minutes risk: Medium	Luguentz Dort	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	22.2	4.1	21.8	26.1	23.5	Trending down: last 5 avg 21.8 min vs 25.9
Minutes risk: Medium	Nic Claxton	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	24.4	4.0	22.6	26.5	25.1	Trending down: last 5 avg 22.6 min vs 27.8 \| Injury list: ESPN: Out — Hamstring
Minutes risk: Low	Bub Carrington	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	26.4	8.0	24.6	29.5	26.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ousmane Dieng	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	29.2	7.9	28.4	25.9	18.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jarace Walker	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	28.4	7.8	24.6	28.2	26.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ben Saraf	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	25.2	7.8	31.2	21.4	21.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Brice Sensabaugh	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	26.4	7.7	22.4	23.6	23.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Dillon Brooks	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	30.6	7.7	35.6	29.0	28.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Dennis Schroder	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	18.8	7.6	25.8	25.9	21.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jahmai Mashack	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	27.5	7.6	31.2	22.4	20.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kennedy Chandler	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	32.2	7.5	32.2	24.0	30.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kyle Filipowski	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	25.1	7.5	20.6	24.9	22.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Caleb Martin	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	20.4	7.3	14.0	17.1	18.3	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Thumb Sprain
Minutes risk: Low	Jordan Goodwin	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	23.1	7.3	22.0	21.2	20.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kasparas Jakucionis	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	20.3	7.2	25.0	20.9	17.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Matisse Thybulle	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	19.1	7.2	15.6	16.3	16.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Taurean Prince	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	24.4	7.1	31.2	27.2	24.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	John Konchar	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	27.3	7.0	31.4	23.0	23.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Oso Ighodaro	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	26.2	7.0	28.6	24.8	21.5	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Oblique Strain
Minutes risk: Low	Ayo Dosunmu	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	30.6	6.9	28.4	28.3	27.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Walter Clayton Jr.	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	23.6	6.9	17.6	20.3	20.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jalen Smith	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	23.6	6.9	19.8	18.6	21.1	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 10 (Right Calf; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 19,24,24 vs 23 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Mikal Bridges	NYK	10-25 vs ORL	-7.5	31.2	6.9	30.2	34.4	29.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Franz Wagner	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	24.9	6.9	30.4	30.4	28.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Lonzo Ball	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	18.4	6.8	18.4	27.0	15.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Davion Mitchell	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	30.9	6.7	35.4	28.0	27.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaden McDaniels	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	32.4	6.7	30.6	31.2	29.1	—
Minutes risk: Low	Blake Hinson	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	20.4	6.7	20.6	22.3	21.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Oscar Tshiebwe	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	18.3	6.6	24.4	12.0	18.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Tristan da Silva	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	20.8	6.6	20.8	27.8	21.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ace Bailey	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	29.6	6.6	27.4	30.5	29.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaden Hardy	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	19.8	6.6	17.4	17.8	19.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Neemias Queta	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	24.3	6.6	24.6	23.3	23.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Patrick Williams	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	23.4	6.6	31.6	20.0	22.5	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Right Groin Soreness
Minutes risk: Low	Daeqwon Plowden	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	28.4	6.6	23.6	24.7	24.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaxson Hayes	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	20.2	6.5	20.6	16.5	16.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Leonard Miller	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	27.2	6.5	29.0	15.5	13.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Aaron Gordon	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	28.2	6.5	31.0	24.5	23.1	—
Minutes risk: Low	Domantas Sabonis	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	30.1	6.5	31.6	29.0	29.6	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 30 (Left Knee; Meniscus Repair (end of last season)); minutes so far 34,39 vs 27 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Norman Powell	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	26.9	6.5	26.0	29.8	27.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Brandin Podziemski	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	31.6	6.5	33.2	27.7	26.1	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Back
Minutes risk: Low	Andrew Wiggins	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	27.9	6.4	27.8	29.3	27.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Brandon Ingram	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	32.4	6.4	29.6	34.5	31.9	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Heel Surgery
Minutes risk: Low	Matas Buzelis	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	30.7	6.4	25.4	28.9	28.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Precious Achiuwa	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	30.6	6.4	29.8	23.9	22.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jay Huff	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	21.2	6.3	20.8	19.6	19.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	DeJon Jarreau	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	20.9	6.3	20.4	21.7	23.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Josh Hart	NYK	10-25 vs ORL	-7.5	32.2	6.3	34.6	30.5	28.1	—
Minutes risk: Low	Collin Murray-Boyles	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	22.1	6.3	25.6	21.8	22.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Nikola Jokic	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	36.3	6.3	38.6	34.8	30.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Desmond Bane	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	32.4	6.2	34.0	33.4	30.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jordan Miller	LAC	10-25 @ OKC	+16.5	24.6	6.2	24.4	26.8	20.4	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Shoulder Surgery
Minutes risk: Low	Marvin Bagley III	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	19.9	6.2	16.0	21.6	17.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Scottie Barnes	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	33.5	6.1	37.4	33.1	31.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Brandon Williams	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	21.6	6.1	20.4	22.4	21.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Karl-Anthony Towns	NYK	10-25 vs ORL	-7.5	30.1	6.0	29.6	32.6	28.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ja'Kobe Walter	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	28.6	6.0	32.6	22.2	21.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Collin Sexton	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	26.4	6.0	27.0	24.4	23.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Russell Westbrook	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	27.4	5.9	29.8	28.2	25.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jamal Shead	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	27.6	5.9	28.6	24.5	21.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ajay Mitchell	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	26.4	5.9	25.0	26.0	24.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Michael Porter Jr.	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	31.9	5.9	32.8	30.1	29.2	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 17 (Left Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 34,33 vs 32 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	LeBron James	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	34.8	5.9	36.4	32.0	31.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	OG Anunoby	NYK	10-25 vs ORL	-7.5	33.6	5.9	35.6	34.8	30.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaime Jaquez Jr.	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	28.2	5.9	32.0	29.9	26.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Isaiah Hartenstein	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	22.0	5.8	21.6	24.7	22.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Alex Sarr	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	25.9	5.8	23.4	27.0	26.4	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 9 (Left Big Toe; Capsulitis (end of last season)); minutes so far 24,25,23 vs 22 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Collin Gillespie	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	25.9	5.8	28.0	27.3	25.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kelly Oubre Jr.	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	30.9	5.8	30.0	33.5	28.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jimmy Butler III	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	30.9	5.8	27.2	31.2	27.6	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Knee Surgery
Minutes risk: Low	Quenton Jackson	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	19.6	5.8	23.2	18.9	18.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaden Ivey	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	20.1	5.7	27.4	16.8	20.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	29.9	5.7	32.8	29.7	26.1	—
Minutes risk: Low	Guerschon Yabusele	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	24.6	5.7	25.0	12.6	15.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Brook Lopez	LAC	10-25 @ OKC	+16.5	27.7	5.6	28.6	20.4	21.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Darius Garland	LAC	10-25 @ OKC	+16.5	30.2	5.6	33.6	28.0	27.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kyle Kuzma	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	25.6	5.6	27.0	28.2	24.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ausar Thompson	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	28.6	5.6	24.8	25.9	24.8	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Right Ankle Sprain
Minutes risk: Low	Tyler Burton	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	25.5	5.6	25.4	27.7	26.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Klay Thompson	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	20.6	5.6	20.6	22.7	19.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	LaMelo Ball	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	29.4	5.5	29.2	26.9	26.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jalen Suggs	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	32.2	5.5	35.4	30.2	25.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Tyrese Maxey	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	38.5	5.5	39.0	38.5	33.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	26.6	5.5	25.2	25.9	25.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jabari Smith Jr.	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	37.4	5.5	37.4	35.2	32.1	—
Minutes risk: Low	Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	29.9	5.5	28.6	32.2	29.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ivica Zubac	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	27.8	5.5	26.2	30.8	27.9	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 12 (Rib; Fracture (end of last season)); minutes so far 34,24 vs 26 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Christian Braun	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	32.2	5.4	32.4	31.1	28.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Pelle Larsson	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	30.1	5.4	27.6	29.1	25.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Marcus Smart	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	31.6	5.4	29.8	27.5	26.6	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Left Forearm Strain
Minutes risk: Low	Moses Moody	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	28.2	5.4	30.2	24.7	24.9	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Knee Surgery
Minutes risk: Low	RJ Barrett	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	33.5	5.4	36.8	31.3	29.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Draymond Green	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	29.5	5.3	29.4	25.5	24.6	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Back
Minutes risk: Low	Gui Santos	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	29.4	5.3	26.0	20.3	18.3	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Undisclosed
Minutes risk: Low	Maxime Raynaud	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	32.5	5.3	32.8	27.9	29.0	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Knee Dislocated
Minutes risk: Low	Paolo Banchero	ORL	10-25 @ NYK	+7.5	35.1	5.3	38.2	35.9	31.3	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Ankle Sprain
Minutes risk: Low	Alperen Sengun	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	34.5	5.3	36.0	30.8	31.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Derrick White	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	34.4	5.3	36.4	31.6	31.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Svi Mykhailiuk	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	20.1	5.3	19.6	19.6	20.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Sam Merrill	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	21.1	5.2	22.8	26.1	22.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	GG Jackson	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	24.5	5.2	21.4	22.5	21.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Andrew Nembhard	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	30.1	5.2	33.6	32.2	29.9	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 7 (N/A; Thoracic and Lumbar Injury Management (end of last season)); minutes so far 34,32 vs 30 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Day'Ron Sharpe	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	20.8	5.2	22.0	21.9	19.0	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 18 (Left Thumb; Surgery (end of last season)); minutes so far 30,23 vs 20 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Naz Reid	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	27.2	5.1	31.6	25.9	24.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Moussa Diabate	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	26.9	5.1	26.2	27.1	24.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Sam Hauser	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	24.7	5.1	22.4	25.3	24.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Gary Payton II	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	21.1	5.1	19.2	15.5	13.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kristaps Porzingis	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	22.9	5.1	23.2	25.0	23.8	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Illness
Minutes risk: Low	Max Christie	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	28.1	5.1	27.4	26.9	27.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Olivier-Maxence Prosper	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	24.2	5.0	20.4	21.8	19.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jock Landale	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	18.8	5.0	21.0	23.9	20.3	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 11 (Right High Ankle; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 19,18,19 vs 20 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Naji Marshall	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	28.1	5.0	27.0	27.5	26.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Sion James	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	19.6	5.0	21.6	24.5	21.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	21.1	4.9	25.4	22.3	20.6	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 29 (Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery (end of last season)); minutes so far 26,25,28 vs 23 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Danny Wolf	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	22.6	4.9	21.8	23.1	22.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Rob Dillingham	CHI	10-26 @ BOS	–	22.6	4.9	26.2	13.1	15.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Miles Bridges	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	29.2	4.9	31.4	32.3	29.1	—
Minutes risk: Low	Mark Williams	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	22.9	4.9	23.2	17.3	21.2	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Left Shoulder Surgery
Minutes risk: Low	Austin Reaves	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	37.2	4.9	38.0	34.2	30.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Javon Small	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	25.2	4.8	23.6	23.3	22.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jonathan Kuminga	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	23.4	4.8	24.4	23.5	23.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Derrick Jones Jr.	LAC	10-25 @ OKC	+16.5	27.3	4.8	25.6	30.9	24.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ziaire Williams	LAL	10-25 @ UTA	-6.5	23.2	4.8	25.0	22.7	21.4	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 5 (Left Foot; (end of last season)); minutes so far 24,31 vs 23 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Tyler Herro	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	32.3	4.7	30.2	31.5	29.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jalen Brunson	NYK	10-25 vs ORL	-7.5	36.5	4.7	38.2	35.8	32.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Myles Turner	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	23.8	4.7	26.2	25.0	24.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Cason Wallace	OKC	10-25 vs LAC	-16.5	24.1	4.7	26.0	28.2	24.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	CJ McCollum	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	29.9	4.7	26.6	29.3	27.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jusuf Nurkic	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	28.8	4.6	26.2	26.1	24.4	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Foot Strain
Minutes risk: Low	Egor Demin	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	25.9	4.6	26.6	25.1	24.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Duncan Robinson	DET	10-25 @ PHI	-1.5	27.8	4.6	25.4	27.6	24.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kawhi Leonard	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	30.9	4.6	31.8	29.5	31.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Evan Mobley	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	33.9	4.6	35.8	30.5	29.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	VJ Edgecombe	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	36.6	4.6	33.6	35.3	32.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Julius Randle	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	33.5	4.5	34.2	32.5	30.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Justin Champagnie	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	22.9	4.5	24.0	23.1	18.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jamal Murray	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	38.0	4.5	39.2	35.3	29.2	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jakob Poeltl	TOR	10-25 @ MIN	+1.5	21.8	4.5	22.8	23.2	22.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jalen Johnson	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	34.6	4.5	32.4	37.3	31.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kris Dunn	LAC	10-25 @ OKC	+16.5	26.7	4.5	28.4	30.0	25.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Dean Wade	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	22.7	4.5	22.2	22.4	20.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Nickeil Alexander-Walker	ATL	10-26 @ HOU	–	34.0	4.5	30.4	33.2	31.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Kevin Porter Jr.	MIL	10-26 vs IND	–	32.3	4.4	30.8	32.9	31.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Terance Mann	BKN	10-25 vs IND B2B	+6.5	21.8	4.4	23.2	23.5	22.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Daniel Gafford	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	22.1	4.4	20.0	20.3	21.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Devin Booker	PHX	10-26 @ OKC	–	35.2	4.4	37.0	34.5	29.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaylen Brown	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	35.9	4.3	35.2	32.6	31.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Bruce Brown	DEN	10-26 vs GSW	–	21.6	4.3	20.2	25.5	23.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	Obi Toppin	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	18.1	4.3	21.2	17.3	16.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Amen Thompson	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	40.1	4.3	39.8	37.1	34.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Stephen Curry	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	29.3	4.2	30.4	28.9	27.0	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Rest
Minutes risk: Low	Joel Embiid	PHI	10-25 vs DET B2B	+1.5	33.5	4.2	33.2	29.3	28.8	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Heel
Minutes risk: Low	Taylor Hendricks	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	24.6	4.2	21.6	20.5	20.5	—
Minutes risk: Low	James Harden	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	35.5	4.1	34.6	34.3	31.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	Bobby Portis	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	24.1	4.1	23.4	23.8	24.4	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 11 (Left Wrist; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 25,21,27 vs 25 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Payton Pritchard	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	31.4	4.1	31.8	30.4	31.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jarrett Allen	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	27.9	4.0	29.0	25.6	25.9	—
Minutes risk: Low	De'Andre Hunter	SAC	10-25 vs MEM	+3.5	23.0	4.0	23.8	27.7	24.0	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 29 (Left Eye; Retinal Repair (end of last season)); minutes so far 20,25 vs 22 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Rudy Gobert	MIN	10-25 vs TOR	-1.5	30.1	4.0	27.6	29.2	30.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jayson Tatum	BOS	10-26 vs CHI	–	35.1	4.0	36.0	–	33.4	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ryan Kalkbrenner	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	18.5	3.9	17.4	22.3	21.8	—
Minutes risk: Low	Cedric Coward	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	24.1	3.9	24.6	24.9	24.5	Injury list: ESPN: Day-To-Day — Left Wrist Sprain
Minutes risk: Low	De'Anthony Melton	GSW	10-26 @ DEN	–	23.9	3.8	23.8	24.3	20.6	—
Minutes risk: Low	Pascal Siakam	IND	10-25 @ BKN	-6.5	31.4	3.8	30.2	35.6	30.3	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 5 (Left Ankle; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 35,29 vs 30 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Jaren Jackson Jr.	UTA	10-25 vs LAL	+6.5	30.9	3.7	26.6	27.6	27.0	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 27 (Left Knee; Injury Recovery (end of last season)); minutes so far 28,33 vs 30 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Brandon Miller	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	31.0	3.7	32.2	28.4	28.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Ty Jerome	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	23.8	3.7	27.6	22.4	24.5	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 11 (Left Ankle; Sprain (end of last season)); minutes so far 32,32 vs 24 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Max Strus	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	25.4	3.7	26.2	23.0	25.4	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Foot Plantar Fasciitis
Minutes risk: Low	Kevin Durant	HOU	10-26 vs ATL	–	36.8	3.6	38.2	37.2	32.0	—
Minutes risk: Low	P.J. Washington	DAL	10-26 @ MIA	–	31.9	3.5	31.4	33.2	30.7	—
Minutes risk: Low	Jaylen Wells	MEM	10-25 @ SAC	-3.5	25.1	3.4	23.6	26.3	25.1	Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 11 (Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery (end of last season)); minutes so far 28,25 vs 25 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIA	10-26 vs DAL	–	29.1	3.3	28.0	26.2	28.5	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 15 (Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise (end of last season)); minutes so far 30,33,25 vs 28 before (already at his usual minutes)
Minutes risk: Low	Grant Williams	CHA	10-26 vs WAS	–	19.1	3.3	20.4	–	18.5	Injury list: ESPN: Out — Right Hamstring
Minutes risk: Low	Donovan Mitchell	CLE	10-26 vs MIN	–	35.4	3.0	36.4	32.9	31.3	—
Minutes risk: Low	Tre Johnson	WAS	10-26 @ CHA	–	22.7	1.9	23.4	24.8	23.6	Back from absence: game 3 back after missing 5 (Right Foot; Sprain; Low Back Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 19,26,23 vs 24 before (already at his usual minutes)

Currently working back from an absence

Players who averaged 18+ min before missing 5+ straight games (including the end of last season) and are within 5 games of their return. "Not listed" means the official report and box score gave no injury, which can mean a shutdown, a trade or a coach's decision.

Player	Team	Missed	Reason	Back since	Games back	Before	Minutes since return
Aaron Nesmith	IND	8 games	Cervical; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-23	1	30	20
Steven Adams	HOU	48 games	Left ankle; surgery (end of last season)	2026-10-23	1	26	9
Ben Sheppard	IND	5 games	Right hip; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	1	20	12
Luka Doncic	LAL	15 games	Left hamstring; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	37	30,37
Michael Porter Jr.	BKN	17 games	Left hamstring; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	32	34,33
Walker Kessler	LAL	77 games	Left shoulder; injury recovery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	31	30,35
Keegan Murray	SAC	22 games	Left ankle; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	31	28,26
Pascal Siakam	IND	5 games	Left ankle; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	30	35,29
Andrew Nembhard	IND	7 games	N/a; thoracic and lumbar injury management (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	30	34,32
Jaren Jackson Jr.	UTA	27 games	Left knee; injury recovery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	30	28,33
Lauri Markkanen	UTA	24 games	Right hip; impingement (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	29	36,34
Immanuel Quickley	TOR	7 games	Right hamstring; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	28	28,29
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	30 games	Left knee; meniscus repair (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	27	34,39
Egor Demin	BKN	23 games	Left plantar fascia; injury management (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	27	27,31
Peyton Watson	CLE	11 games	Right hamstring; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-22	2	27	30,31
Zach LaVine	SAC	29 games	Right 5th finger; tendon repair (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	27	34,39
Keyonte George	UTA	16 games	Management right hamstring; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	27	29,32
Isaiah Collier	UTA	13 games	Left hamstring; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	27	16,18
Ja Morant	POR	40 games	Left elbow; ucl sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	26	23,27
Ivica Zubac	IND	12 games	Rib; fracture (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	26	34,24
Zach Edey	MEM	58 games	Left ankle and elbow; surgery recovery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	26	21,22
Jaylen Wells	MEM	11 games	Right great toe; surgery recovery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	25	28,25
Ty Jerome	MEM	11 games	Left ankle; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	24	32,32
Nick Richards	MIA	10 games	Right elbow; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	23	3,3
Ziaire Williams	LAL	5 games	Left foot; (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	23	24,31
De'Andre Hunter	SAC	29 games	Left eye; retinal repair (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	22	20,25
Scotty Pippen Jr.	MEM	20 games	Right great toe; surgery recovery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	21	20,17
Noah Clowney	BKN	5 games	Left ankle; injury management (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	20	22,20
Day'Ron Sharpe	BKN	18 games	Left thumb; surgery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	20	30,23
Karlo Matkovic	NOP	6 games	Low back; injury management (end of last season)	2026-10-23	2	19	9,8
Zach Collins	CHI	51 games	Right 1st toe; surgery (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	18	9,11
Isaiah Jackson	LAC	9 games	Right ankle; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	2	18	15,28
Josh Giddey	CHI	5 games	Left hamstring; strain; injury management (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	34	24,25,30
Anthony Davis	WAS	44 games	Left finger; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	33	34,32,31
Dejounte Murray	NOP	5 games	Left hand; contusion (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	29	34,30,35
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIA	15 games	Left knee; hyperextension; bone bruise (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	28	30,33,25
Anfernee Simons	PHI	25 games	Left ulnar styloid; fracture (end of last season)	2026-10-20	3	27	25,17,20
Bobby Portis	MIA	11 games	Left wrist; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	25	25,21,27
Trae Young	WAS	15 games	Vein thrombosis low back; pain; right quad contusion (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	24	38,37,34
Tre Johnson	WAS	5 games	Right foot; sprain; low back strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	24	19,26,23
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	PHI	29 games	Right 5th finger; surgery recovery (end of last season)	2026-10-20	3	23	26,25,28
Jalen Smith	CHI	10 games	Right calf; strain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	23	19,24,24
Alex Sarr	WAS	9 games	Left big toe; capsulitis (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	22	24,25,23
Kyshawn George	WAS	22 games	Left elbow; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	20	29,26,36
Jock Landale	ATL	11 games	Right high ankle; sprain (end of last season)	2026-10-21	3	20	19,18,19

How returns from absences played out (league, since 2016-17)

Players averaging 20+ min before missing 2+ straight games. The numbers are minutes in each game back as a % of their pre-absence average. "Unlisted" absences are games where ESPN's box score didn't list the player, which is mostly injuries before 2021.

Type	Absence	Cases	Before (min)	Game 1	Game 2	Game 3	Game 5	Game 10	G1 avg min	G1 under 75%	Missed again within 10
injury/illness + unlisted	2 games	1210	29.1	95%	97%	98%	98%	98%	27.5	17%	49%
injury/illness + unlisted	3–5 games	1095	28.9	90%	95%	97%	99%	98%	26.1	22%	46%
injury/illness + unlisted	6–10 games	533	28.5	82%	89%	92%	97%	98%	23.3	38%	46%
injury/illness + unlisted	11–20 games	301	28.1	77%	86%	89%	94%	100%	21.7	45%	48%
injury/illness + unlisted	21+ games	113	28.0	68%	75%	80%	87%	93%	19.2	61%	52%
rest	2 games	65	27.9	98%	104%	100%	104%	104%	27.7	15%	46%
rest	3–5 games	21	29.0	91%	100%	98%	94%	92%	26.8	19%	52%
rest	6–10 games	5	26.1	94%	101%	107%	102%	92%	24.6	20%	60%
rest	21+ games	1	26.3	76%	65%	76%	87%	122%	20.0	0%	100%

How often a spread turns into a blowout

Share of games decided by 15+ / 20+ points, by closing spread. Starters' minutes usually drop in these games.

Spread	Games	15+ margin	20+ margin
0–3	3251	24.1%	12.9%
3.5–6	3956	22.7%	12.1%
6.5–9	2941	29.9%	17.3%
9.5–12	1684	33.8%	20.7%
12.5+	1052	48.1%	32.4%

Most volatile minutes (24+ MPG, last 20 games)

Player	Team	MPG	± sd	Range	6+ under median
Cormac Ryan	MIL	24.5	12.9	4–38	36%
Leaky Black	SAC	28.8	11.8	4–42	33%
Cody Williams	MIN	31.9	10.8	3–43	25%
Anthony Gill	WAS	25.2	10.5	1–41	25%
Elijah Harkless	UTA	24.1	10.4	3–41	25%
Bez Mbeng	UTA	32.9	10.4	17–48	27%
Will Riley	WAS	29.4	10.2	1–40	15%
Rayan Rupert	PHI	26.9	10.2	6–42	20%
Nique Clifford	SAC	31.9	10.0	2–42	30%
Anthony Black	ORL	25.2	9.7	2–45	15%
Julian Reese	NOP	30.9	9.6	10–44	31%
Devin Carter	SAC	24.6	9.5	6–36	35%
Shaedon Sharpe	POR	24.2	9.3	6–35	40%
Cade Cunningham	DET	34.7	9.2	5–44	30%
AJ Green	MIL	26.9	9.1	12–46	25%
Jalen Green	PHX	30.4	8.9	4–41	25%
Jericho Sims	MIL	24.2	8.8	2–39	25%
Luke Kennard	PHX	28.7	8.6	11–45	15%
Jeremiah Fears	NOP	26.4	8.6	13–44	10%
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	27.4	8.5	1–36	15%
Reed Sheppard	HOU	27.8	8.5	11–46	30%
Isaiah Collier	UTA	29.1	8.4	16–48	20%
Keegan Murray	SAC	32.6	8.4	9–47	20%
Anthony Davis	WAS	30.9	8.4	7–39	15%
Trae Young	WAS	27.3	8.3	7–38	39%
Tari Eason	HOU	26.4	8.2	3–46	10%
Peyton Watson	CLE	31.1	8.2	9–40	25%
Tobias Harris	DET	29.9	8.1	6–39	30%
Herbert Jones	NOP	25.6	8.0	9–37	30%
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	34.6	8.0	12–49	25%
Bub Carrington	WAS	26.4	8.0	11–38	20%
Ousmane Dieng	MIL	29.2	7.9	14–45	20%
Bam Adebayo	MIA	33.6	7.9	11–45	25%
Jarace Walker	IND	28.4	7.8	4–39	15%
Ben Saraf	BKN	25.2	7.8	4–41	10%
DeMar DeRozan	DEN	28.1	7.8	10–41	10%
Brice Sensabaugh	UTA	26.4	7.7	13–43	20%
Dillon Brooks	PHX	30.6	7.7	7–42	20%
Jalen Williams	OKC	24.9	7.7	7–37	25%
Jahmai Mashack	MEM	27.5	7.6	14–48	5%

Team rotation tendencies

How each team's starters' minutes change with the game script and the schedule. ESPN's data has no coach field, so this is grouped by team-season; a mid-season coaching change gets mixed into the same row. Sorted by starter MPG, lowest first (the heaviest minutes managers are at the top).

Team	G	Starter MPG	Close (≤5)	Won by 15+	Lost by 15+	B2B	Rested	Blowout %	Players 10+ min	Top-minutes player	Returns: G1 % of before	Rest DNPs
POR	2	26.0	–	22.8	–	–	29.2	50%	10.5	Deni Avdija (30.5)	–	0
DET	2	26.5	–	23.2	–	–	23.2	50%	10.5	Cade Cunningham (32.5)	–	0
GSW	3	26.7	28.6	–	23.4	28.0	28.6	33%	10.3	Yaxel Lendeborg (34.0)	–	1
DAL	3	27.0	–	25.6	27.7	27.6	25.6	100%	9.0	P.J. Washington (33.3)	–	0
MEM	2	27.3	26.2	28.4	–	–	26.2	50%	10.5	Cameron Boozer (35.0)	–	0
CHI	3	27.6	32.0	–	24.4	32.0	26.4	33%	10.7	Caleb Wilson (34.3)	–	0
OKC	2	27.6	–	–	–	–	28.6	0%	10.0	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (35.5)	–	0
TOR	2	28.1	–	25.2	–	–	31.0	50%	10.0	Scottie Barnes (31.5)	–	0
MIA	3	28.1	29.2	–	27.6	29.2	27.8	67%	8.7	Davion Mitchell (34.3)	–	0
BOS	2	28.2	29.2	–	–	–	29.2	0%	9.5	Jayson Tatum (37.5)	–	0
NOP	3	28.3	27.6	–	–	29.6	25.4	0%	9.7	Trey Murphy III (33.3)	–	0
ATL	3	28.3	–	24.6	–	31.0	24.6	33%	9.3	Jalen Johnson (31.7)	–	0
PHX	2	28.4	–	–	25.4	–	31.4	50%	9.5	Devin Booker (32.5)	–	0
CHA	3	29.1	31.8	–	22.6	31.8	22.6	33%	10.3	Naz Reid (31.7)	–	0
MIL	3	29.7	–	–	–	27.6	32.2	0%	9.7	Tyler Herro (31.7)	–	0
MIN	2	29.7	–	29.7	–	–	28.6	100%	9.0	Anthony Edwards (33.0)	–	0
LAC	2	29.9	–	26.4	–	–	33.4	50%	9.0	Darius Garland (34.5)	–	0
IND	2	29.9	33.0	–	26.8	–	26.8	50%	9.5	Tyrese Haliburton (33.0)	–	0
WAS	3	29.9	29.8	–	–	29.8	29.2	0%	9.7	Trae Young (36.3)	–	0
UTA	2	30.1	30.2	–	30.0	–	30.2	50%	9.0	Lauri Markkanen (35.0)	–	0
LAL	2	30.4	–	27.8	–	–	33.0	50%	8.5	Austin Reaves (35.0)	–	0
BKN	2	30.7	28.8	–	–	–	28.8	0%	9.0	Julius Randle (36.5)	–	0
ORL	2	31.5	–	–	29.8	–	29.8	50%	9.5	Paolo Banchero (33.5)	–	0
SAS	3	31.5	34.2	29.0	–	29.0	34.2	33%	8.3	Devin Vassell (33.0)	–	0
SAC	2	31.7	–	–	30.2	–	33.2	50%	9.0	Zach LaVine (36.5)	–	0
NYK	2	31.9	33.2	–	–	–	33.2	0%	8.5	Jalen Brunson (35.5)	–	0
CLE	2	32.1	32.2	–	–	–	32.2	0%	8.5	Donovan Mitchell (35.0)	–	0
DEN	2	32.8	–	–	–	–	36.6	0%	9.5	Jamal Murray (40.0)	–	0
HOU	3	34.2	35.0	33.2	–	34.4	35.0	33%	7.7	Kevin Durant (37.0)	–	0
PHI	3	34.8	–	–	–	–	34.5	0%	8.3	Tyrese Maxey (39.3)	–	0

Team	G	Starter MPG	Close (≤5)	Won by 15+	Lost by 15+	B2B	Rested	Blowout %	Players 10+ min	Top-minutes player	Returns: G1 % of before	Rest DNPs
MEM	82	26.9	27.4	25.0	26.6	26.0	27.1	34%	9.6	Toby Okani (36.2)	98% (9)	3
BKN	82	27.6	27.8	27.2	26.1	27.2	27.8	45%	9.9	Michael Porter Jr. (32.5)	95% (6)	7
WAS	82	27.6	29.3	29.5	26.2	28.3	27.5	51%	9.6	Julian Reese (30.9)	77% (15)	1
GSW	84	27.7	29.1	26.0	25.0	26.8	27.8	30%	9.9	Jimmy Butler III (31.2)	86% (10)	7
IND	82	28.1	29.4	25.3	26.3	28.0	28.1	35%	9.8	Pascal Siakam (33.2)	77% (12)	7
OKC	97	28.5	31.1	25.9	26.9	29.4	28.2	45%	9.6	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (33.8)	86% (13)	1
DAL	82	28.7	30.1	24.9	26.0	28.1	28.9	22%	9.5	Cooper Flagg (33.6)	95% (10)	0
CHI	82	29.0	29.9	28.3	27.2	28.7	29.0	33%	9.3	Josh Giddey (32.1)	81% (16)	0
DET	94	29.3	31.2	26.2	27.6	28.8	29.3	28%	9.7	Cade Cunningham (34.9)	89% (9)	0
PHX	88	29.4	30.5	26.7	26.2	27.5	29.8	32%	9.2	Devin Booker (34.0)	86% (13)	0
LAC	83	29.4	31.2	27.0	27.7	30.1	29.4	36%	9.2	James Harden (35.5)	74% (8)	0
CHA	84	29.6	31.3	27.2	29.4	29.3	29.6	39%	9.8	Kon Knueppel (31.5)	88% (5)	1
MIA	83	29.6	31.4	27.1	28.6	28.8	29.8	39%	9.0	Bam Adebayo (32.1)	86% (12)	5
MIL	82	29.7	31.6	29.8	27.6	29.0	29.9	41%	9.0	Kevin Porter Jr. (33.2)	85% (9)	0
BOS	89	29.7	30.9	28.7	27.2	28.1	30.0	35%	9.1	Jaylen Brown (34.5)	62% (1)	3
UTA	82	29.7	30.5	30.0	28.8	29.8	29.7	40%	9.4	Lauri Markkanen (34.4)	55% (5)	16
SAC	82	29.7	29.7	34.6	27.2	29.5	29.8	33%	9.0	Keegan Murray (34.6)	88% (9)	1
NOP	82	29.8	31.2	28.6	28.0	28.3	30.1	29%	9.4	Trey Murphy III (35.5)	87% (13)	0
CLE	97	29.9	31.7	27.0	29.0	29.3	30.0	26%	9.4	James Harden (34.9)	88% (14)	4
SAS	106	30.3	32.1	26.7	31.0	29.0	30.5	27%	9.0	Devin Vassell (31.6)	83% (5)	0
POR	88	30.4	32.4	27.5	28.0	30.6	30.3	35%	9.1	Deni Avdija (33.5)	63% (10)	19
TOR	89	30.8	31.6	28.7	29.6	30.2	30.9	37%	9.2	Scottie Barnes (34.0)	84% (7)	0
ATL	88	31.3	32.4	29.0	30.1	31.6	31.3	42%	8.9	Jalen Johnson (35.3)	80% (5)	1
ORL	91	31.4	33.2	27.3	29.0	31.6	31.3	26%	9.2	Paolo Banchero (35.1)	69% (7)	0
PHI	94	31.5	33.2	29.2	27.6	30.6	31.6	30%	8.8	Tyrese Maxey (38.3)	85% (9)	0
DEN	87	31.5	33.2	27.9	28.7	30.9	31.5	25%	8.7	Jamal Murray (35.6)	73% (8)	1
MIN	93	31.5	33.8	29.0	29.3	30.5	31.7	33%	8.5	Anthony Edwards (34.6)	82% (5)	1
LAL	92	31.7	34.0	29.1	29.0	30.0	32.0	39%	9.0	Luka Doncic (35.8)	79% (11)	0
NYK	101	32.0	33.3	29.7	29.5	33.1	31.9	34%	8.9	Jalen Brunson (35.4)	78% (7)	0
HOU	88	33.9	36.5	30.4	31.0	34.0	33.8	31%	8.4	Amen Thompson (37.9)	88% (3)	2

Per-36 hype check (bench and mid-rotation players)

Players averaging 12–28 min, sorted by points per 36. A big gap between per-36 and actual points means the box score rate depends on minutes he isn't getting.

Player	Team	L20 MPG	± sd	PTS/36	Actual PTS	REB/36	Actual REB	AST/36	Actual AST
Ty Jerome	MEM	23.8	3.7	32.7	21.6	4.5	3.0	8.5	5.6
Coby White	CHA	19.8	3.1	28.6	15.7	5.5	3.0	5.1	2.8
Brice Sensabaugh	UTA	26.4	7.7	27.2	19.9	4.5	3.3	4.0	2.9
Tristan Vukcevic	WAS	16.8	4.4	26.1	12.2	8.2	3.9	2.9	1.4
Obi Toppin	IND	18.1	4.3	26.1	13.2	8.4	4.2	4.5	2.2
Collin Sexton	LAL	26.4	6.0	25.6	18.8	4.0	3.0	4.0	2.9
Paul Reed	DET	14.2	7.7	24.8	9.8	12.6	5.0	3.4	1.4
Trae Young	WAS	27.3	8.3	24.6	18.7	2.6	1.9	11.3	8.6
Norman Powell	CHI	26.9	6.5	24.3	18.1	4.0	3.0	2.5	1.9
Tre Jones	CHI	26.1	4.8	23.9	17.3	5.1	3.7	6.6	4.8
Franz Wagner	ORL	24.9	6.9	23.9	16.5	6.1	4.2	4.5	3.1
Kristaps Porzingis	GSW	22.9	5.1	23.5	14.9	7.7	4.9	3.5	2.2
Shaedon Sharpe	POR	24.2	9.3	23.4	15.8	4.9	3.3	3.1	2.1
GG Jackson	MEM	24.5	5.2	23.2	15.8	7.4	5.0	2.5	1.7
Jeremiah Fears	NOP	26.4	8.6	23.1	16.9	4.6	3.4	5.1	3.7
Jalen Williams	OKC	24.9	7.7	22.8	15.8	5.6	3.9	6.1	4.2
Luka Garza	BOS	14.2	8.8	22.6	8.9	9.5	3.8	2.2	0.8
Brandon Williams	GSW	21.6	6.1	22.3	13.4	5.3	3.2	6.2	3.8
Cam Thomas	MIL	17.2	5.7	22.1	10.6	3.2	1.6	4.1	1.9
Bennedict Mathurin	NOP	26.1	7.5	21.9	15.9	6.5	4.7	3.3	2.4
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	MEM	24.2	5.0	21.8	14.7	6.8	4.5	1.8	1.2
Jaden Hardy	LAL	19.8	6.6	21.8	11.9	2.9	1.6	2.5	1.4
Bobby Portis	MIA	24.1	4.1	21.6	14.5	9.3	6.2	2.1	1.4
Jared McCain	OKC	18.4	8.4	21.2	10.8	3.6	1.9	2.2	1.1
Isaiah Joe	DET	13.6	5.4	21.2	8.0	4.1	1.6	2.6	1.0
Blake Hinson	UTA	20.4	6.7	21.0	11.9	4.2	2.4	2.0	1.1
Grayson Allen	CHA	24.8	5.8	21.0	14.4	3.9	2.7	5.0	3.5
Cormac Ryan	MIL	24.5	12.9	20.9	14.3	3.7	2.5	2.5	1.7
Kyle Filipowski	UTA	25.1	7.5	20.8	14.5	11.8	8.2	5.4	3.8
Kyshawn George	WAS	25.9	7.0	20.8	14.9	6.2	4.5	5.2	3.8
Klay Thompson	MIA	20.6	5.6	20.7	11.8	2.2	1.2	2.4	1.4
Buddy Hield	CHI	13.7	8.1	20.5	7.8	4.7	1.8	3.7	1.4
Terrence Shannon Jr.	MIN	18.6	10.6	20.5	10.6	3.7	1.9	2.9	1.5
Malik Monk	SAC	21.1	7.7	20.4	11.9	2.6	1.6	6.6	3.9
Anfernee Simons	PHI	26.1	6.1	20.3	14.8	3.7	2.6	2.9	2.1
Jaylen Wells	MEM	25.1	3.4	20.2	14.1	3.7	2.6	2.0	1.4
Micah Potter	POR	18.1	7.2	20.1	10.1	10.7	5.4	2.5	1.2
Dylan Harper	SAS	27.8	6.6	19.7	15.2	7.8	6.0	3.8	2.9
Josh Minott	BKN	16.4	9.2	19.7	8.9	4.8	2.2	1.5	0.7
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	26.6	5.5	19.6	14.5	5.7	4.2	3.0	2.2