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Nikola Topic

G · #44 · OKC · 2025-26 to 2025-26 · 19 games played
Out Back Surgery · est. return 2026-10-26
Minutes risk: High
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: HighNext game 2026-10-25 vs LAC · line -16.5
  • Volatile: last 20: ±11.3 min std dev, 0% of games 6+ min under his median
  • Trending down: last 5 avg 3.0 min vs 9.6
  • Injury list: ESPN: Out — Back Surgery
9.6 ± 11.3Last-20 minutes per game (median 6.0, range 1–39, 10th pct 1.0)
3.0 / 6.1Last 5 / last 10 MPG
89% · 89% · 89%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 0% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 154.9
Blowout (15+ either way)1212.4
Rested (1+ days off)9.1
2nd night of back-to-back214.0
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat2 of 4
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started11% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes11.04.19.2
Actual per game (9.6 min)2.91.12.5

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2026-02-27 → 2026-03-30G league - on assignment161112810393941113113%94%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2025-26OKC199.66.011.389%89%14.09.112.44.9

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2025-26OKC10216.15.21.94.40.502.50.611.5-4.243.140406-47-3
Career10216.15.21.94.40.502.50.611.5-4.243.140406-47-3
Playoffs (career)902.40.40.20.30.200.201-133.30–7-26-3

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
PTS15+1/10 10%1/19 5%–1/19 5%1/19 5%
REB4+1/10 10%1/19 5%–1/19 5%1/19 5%
AST3+1/10 10%6/19 32%–6/19 32%6/19 32%
AST5+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
AST7+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
AST9+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
3PM1+1/10 10%4/19 21%–4/19 21%4/19 21%
3PM2+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
PRA20+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
PRA25+1/10 10%2/19 11%–2/19 11%2/19 11%
PRA30+1/10 10%1/19 5%–1/19 5%1/19 5%
PRA35+1/10 10%1/19 5%–1/19 5%1/19 5%
STL1+2/10 20%4/19 21%–4/19 21%4/19 21%
STL2+0/10 0%1/19 5%–1/19 5%1/19 5%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games1913-69.62.91.12.50.401.40.3
Last 10107-36.12.20.61.70.200.70.2
Last 201913-69.62.91.12.50.401.40.3
2025-261913-69.62.91.12.50.401.40.3
Home97-210.74.11.63001.70.3
Away106-48.71.90.720.701.20.3
Started20-23916312.5206.52
Off the bench1713-46.21.40.91.30.200.80.1
Team won1313-05.21.50.91.20.200.70.2
Team lost60-619.361.55.30.8030.7
Team favored1210-28.62.91.22.20.201.10.2
Team underdog73-411.430.92.90.7020.4
Back-to-back (2nd night)20-21411.52.50020
1 day rest128-49.93.40.92.80.601.60.4
2+ days rest55-07.22.61.41.8000.80.2
Playoffs97-22.40.40.20.30.200.20

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
LAL44-06.511.21.20.500.20
PHX43-111.24.513.8001.20.5
SAS42-230.500.50.200.20
BKN11-0119320031
CLE11-082230030
DEN10-139142114082
DET10-1160240010
MIL10-1122110030
TOR11-063000011
UTA11-082240010

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-10-22OKCOutLow Back Surgery–––
2026-10-20OKCOutLow Back Surgery–––
2026-03-29OKCAvailable-No––
2026-03-27OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-25OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-23OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-21OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-18OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-17OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-15OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-12OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-04OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-03OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-03-01OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-02-11OKCOutG League - On Assignment–––
2026-02-09OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-02-07OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-02-04OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-02-03OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-02-01OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-29OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-27OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-25OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-23OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-21OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-19OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-17OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-15OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-13OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-11OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-09OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-07OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-05OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2026-01-04OKCOutN/a; Surgical recovery–––
2026-01-02OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-31OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-29OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-28OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-25OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-23OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-22OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-19OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-18OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-13OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-10OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-07OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-05OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-12-02OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-30OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-28OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-26OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-23OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-21OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-19OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-17OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-15OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-12OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-11OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-09OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-07OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-05OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-04OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-11-02OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-10-30OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-10-28OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-10-27OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-10-25OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-10-23OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-10-21OKCOutN/a; Surgical Recovery–––
2025-06-22OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-06-19OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-06-16OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-06-13OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-06-11OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-06-08OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-06-05OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-28OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-26OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-24OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-22OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-20OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-18OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-15OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-13OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-11OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-09OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-07OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-05-05OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-26OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-24OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-22OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-20OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-13OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-11OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-09OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-08OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-06OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-04OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-04-02OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-31OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-29OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-27OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-25OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-23OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-21OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-19OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-16OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-15OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-12OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-10OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-09OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-07OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-05OKCOutRight Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-03OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-03-02OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-28OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-26OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-24OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-23OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-21OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-13OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-12OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-10OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-08OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-07OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-05OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-03OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-02-01OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-29OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-26OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-23OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-22OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-19OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-17OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-16OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-14OKCOutSprain Left Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-12OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-10OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-08OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-05OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-03OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2025-01-02OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-31OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-29OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-28OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-26OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-23OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-20OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-19OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-17OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-14OKCOutLeft Left Knee; Sprain–––
2024-12-10OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-07OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-05OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-03OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-12-01OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-29OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-27OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-25OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-20OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-19OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-17OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-15OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-13OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-11OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-10OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-08OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-06OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-04OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-02OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-11-01OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-10-30OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-10-27OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-10-26OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––
2024-10-24OKCOutLeft Knee; Surgery–––

Games missed while on the roster (12)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2026-05-30OKCSASCOACH'S DECISIONL
2026-05-20OKCSASCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-05-18OKCSASCOACH'S DECISIONL
2026-05-11OKCLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-05-05OKCLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-04-22OKCPHXCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-04-08OKCLACCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-03-30OKCDETCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-03-29OKCNYKCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-03-09OKCDENCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-03-07OKCGSWCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-02-27OKCDENCOACH'S DECISIONW

Game log

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-05-28 POST@SAS91-118L+3.5L6000100001100001-10
2026-05-26 POSTSAS127-114W-3.5W1000000000000000-20
2026-05-24 POST@SAS82-103L+2.5L420200101200000014
2026-05-22 POST@SAS123-108W+3.5W100000000100000000
2026-05-09 POST@LAL131-108W-9.5W3020101001100020-22
2026-05-07 POSTLAL125-107W-15.5W120000001100000002
2026-04-27 POST@PHX131-122W-11.5L1000000000000000-20
2026-04-25 POST@PHX121-109W-8.5W1000000000000000-20
2026-04-19 POSTPHX119-84W-16.5W4001000000000000-11
2026-04-12PHX103-135L-7.5L39184140052816503133-1836
2026-04-10@DEN107-127L+2.5L39142114082612300203-1727
2026-04-07@LAL123-87W-17.5W1001310000410001104
2026-04-05UTA146-111W-24.5W8224001001022201-48
2026-04-02LAL139-96W-9.5W12222000012100021-26
2026-02-25@DET116-124L+10.5W16024001003000111-116
2026-02-24@TOR116-107W+1.5W630000111210000063
2026-02-22CLE121-113W+4.5W8223003012000112-37
2026-02-20BKN105-86W-16.5W119320031462000311214
2026-02-12MIL93-110L-13.5L12211003013200010-54