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Jaden McDaniels

F · #3 · MIN · 2020-21 to 2026-27 · 490 games played
Minutes risk: Low
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: LowNext game 2026-10-25 vs TOR · line -1.5

No minutes flags right now.

32.4 ± 6.7Last-20 minutes per game (median 33.0, range 19–41, 10th pct 22.7)
30.6 / 30.9Last 5 / last 10 MPG · 2026-27 29.5 in 2 games
5% · 15% · 25%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 20% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 1533.3
Blowout (15+ either way)3029.1
Rested (1+ days off)32.0
2nd night of back-to-back1331.2
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat0 of 13
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started100% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes18.05.82.6
Actual per game (32.4 min)16.15.22.4

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2026-03-28 → 2026-04-07Right knee; soreness6301935333741332736204062%95%
2023-11-22 → 2023-12-08Right ankle; sprain82427241830383641273426114%97%
2022-11-27 → 2022-11-30N/a; illness3311837322928363034373258%94%
2022-03-16 → 2022-04-03Left ankle; sprain9261521182325212210183357%68%
2021-11-29 → 2021-12-03N/a; flu-like symptoms3262223222823223239373685%86%
2021-05-07 → 2021-05-09Not listed in box score2292617223289%74%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2026-27MIN229.529.50.70%0%–30.029.5–
2025-26MIN8431.933.06.34%23%31.232.029.133.3
2024-25MIN9732.133.06.22%24%32.832.228.733.4
2023-24MIN8830.030.07.35%35%31.129.824.832.2
2022-23MIN7930.632.06.78%27%30.530.627.631.1
2021-22MIN7725.425.06.519%61%28.924.622.826.5
2020-21MIN6324.024.08.727%67%25.123.721.225.3

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2020-21MIN6327246.83.71.10.61.00.71.111.6-1.644.736.46018-4526-35-2
2021-22MIN703125.79.24.21.10.70.81.11.114.60.046.031.780.340-3038-31-1
2022-23MIN797930.612.13.91.90.91.01.41.417.80.951.739.873.641-3839-40
2023-24MIN727129.210.53.11.40.90.61.21.215.02.248.933.772.248-2435-36-1
2024-25MIN828232.012.25.72.01.30.91.21.219.92.147.733.081.249-3339-43
2025-26MIN737331.714.84.22.71.111.81.421.81.651.541.283.544-2932-41
2026-27MIN2229.516721.5111.52518.55637.51002-02-0
Career44136529.111.14.21.70.90.91.21.217.01.048.935.977.5242-199211-226-4
Playoffs (career)484231.713.24.61.50.81.01.21.319.31.849.037.983.725-2327-21

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+10/10 100%20/20 100%2/2 100%68/84 81%282/490 58%
PTS15+5/10 50%14/20 70%2/2 100%45/84 54%141/490 29%
PTS20+0/10 0%2/20 10%0/2 0%18/84 21%55/490 11%
PTS25+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%7/84 8%18/490 4%
PTS30+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%1/84 1%3/490 1%
REB4+7/10 70%13/20 65%2/2 100%56/84 67%281/490 57%
REB6+6/10 60%12/20 60%2/2 100%27/84 32%140/490 29%
REB8+2/10 20%4/20 20%1/2 50%5/84 6%55/490 11%
REB10+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%1/84 1%15/490 3%
REB12+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/84 0%5/490 1%
AST3+4/10 40%11/20 55%1/2 50%45/84 54%129/490 26%
AST5+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%11/84 13%20/490 4%
AST7+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/84 0%2/490 0%
3PM1+5/10 50%11/20 55%2/2 100%56/84 67%344/490 70%
3PM2+4/10 40%7/20 35%1/2 50%31/84 37%175/490 36%
3PM3+2/10 20%5/20 25%0/2 0%18/84 21%69/490 14%
3PM4+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%4/84 5%20/490 4%
3PM5+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%3/84 4%7/490 1%
PRA20+7/10 70%16/20 80%2/2 100%57/84 68%189/490 39%
PRA25+3/10 30%10/20 50%1/2 50%35/84 42%96/490 20%
PRA30+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%10/84 12%34/490 7%
PRA35+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%3/84 4%15/490 3%
PRA40+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/84 0%3/490 1%
STL1+4/10 40%10/20 50%1/2 50%50/84 60%280/490 57%
STL2+1/10 10%4/20 20%1/2 50%24/84 29%117/490 24%
BLK1+7/10 70%13/20 65%1/2 50%46/84 55%263/490 54%
BLK2+1/10 10%3/20 15%1/2 50%21/84 25%112/490 23%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games490268-22229.311.34.21.70.90.91.21.3
Last 10105-530.914.65.32.10.60.81.51.1
Last 202012-832.416.15.22.40.90.91.31.1
2026-2722-029.516721.5111.5
2025-268449-3531.914.94.42.71.01.01.81.3
Home242139-10329.411.44.21.80.91.01.31.3
Away248129-11929.311.24.31.61.00.71.21.2
Started407235-17230.812.14.41.91.00.91.31.3
Off the bench8333-5022.07.63.50.90.60.80.91.1
Team won268268-029.812.34.41.81.01.01.21.3
Team lost2220-22228.810.14.01.60.80.81.31.2
Team favored273177-9630.011.64.21.81.11.01.31.2
Team underdog21791-12628.611.04.21.60.80.81.11.3
Back-to-back (2nd night)8042-3829.912.14.21.80.80.81.11.3
1 day rest304167-13729.411.04.31.71.00.91.21.2
2+ days rest10155-4628.911.74.11.60.80.91.31.3
Playoffs4825-2331.713.24.61.50.81.01.21.3

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
DEN3318-1530.312.94.32.10.71.11.31.0
OKC2714-1327.712.34.31.70.90.61.51.4
GSW2616-1029.49.83.71.71.00.71.31.1
LAL2513-1228.311.24.411.10.61.21.1
MEM2410-1427.511.14.31.30.71.11.01.6
SAS2414-1030.312.04.61.81.30.80.91.2
DAL2313-1032.011.73.71.90.80.81.31.6
PHX2311-1230.610.44.31.91.30.50.90.8
LAC2212-1027.610.63.01.81.10.61.31.4
POR2214-828.811.54.41.81.31.21.51.2
UTA2114-729.512.15.22.21.00.81.51.2
NOP2012-828.19.63.41.50.90.90.81.2
SAC2013-731.913.24.61.80.90.61.61.6
HOU1914-53211.24.51.51.11.21.20.9
ATL125-724.910.43.61.20.81.20.71.2
CHI125-730.511.54.52.40.40.91.41.5
CLE126-62911.93.111.20.71.31.5
ORL125-728.510.55.41.511.21.41.2
BKN117-432.312.33.82.10.711.31.2
BOS114-733.512.94.41.80.70.51.72
MIA119-229.2124.51.810.91.51.1
MIL114-725.17.541.80.31.21.51.2
NYK115-625.810.641.10.50.91.51.5
CHA104-629.4115.32.30.911.31.2
IND106-430.810.64.11.90.81.21.31.2
PHI104-630.711.14.21.111.50.90.8
TOR106-430.813.44.52.10.81.31.11.7
DET96-329.110.74.61.40.80.90.81.3
WAS94-524.78.95.41.71.10.40.90.9

Team with him vs without him

SeasonTeamMPGWith: GW-LATSMarginWithout: GW-LATSMargin
2025-26MIN31.98449-3537-47+2.0106-45-4+3.7
2024-25MIN32.19758-3949-48+4.600-00-0–
2023-24MIN30.08857-3144-43+5.887-14-3+9.2
2022-23MIN30.67941-3839-40+0.331-21-2-10.0
2021-22MIN25.47743-3442-34+2.4126-65-7+0.5
2020-21MIN24.06318-4526-35-6.895-46-2+3.0

Best on-court partners (2025-26+)

Minutes together and net rating per 100 possessions (pbpstats).

WithSeasonMin+/-Net
Julius Randle2025-261711+119+4.1
Donte DiVincenzo2025-261679+194+6.0
Rudy Gobert2025-261612+160+5.5
Anthony Edwards2025-261359+115+5.2
Naz Reid2025-26990+83+4.0
Bones Hyland2025-26504-4+0.7
Mike Conley2025-26426-30-2.4
Julius Randle2025-26 P313-50-7.3
Ayo Dosunmu2025-26281-48-5.2
Rudy Gobert2025-26 P279-45-6.4
Anthony Edwards2025-26 P234-47-9.6
Naz Reid2025-26 P210-12-2.5
Ayo Dosunmu2025-26 P196-76-19.6
Jaylen Clark2025-26181+3+6.4
Terrence Shannon Jr.2025-26153-51-14.5

Teammates he wins with (both started)

TeammateTeamGW-LATSMargin
Anthony EdwardsMIN373215-158181-189+2.8
Rudy GobertMIN315187-128147-167+3.4
Mike ConleyMIN195120-7598-96+4.1
Julius RandleMIN166101-6579-87+3.7
Karl-Anthony TownsMIN14785-6271-73+3.3
Donte DiVincenzoMIN8753-3440-47+4.0
D'Angelo RussellMIN7740-3737-40+1.4
Kyle AndersonMIN5834-2435-23+2.2
Naz ReidMIN4827-2127-21+3.1
Ricky RubioMIN2310-1311-10-4.7
Josh OkogieMIN2211-1111-9-2.0
Jarred VanderbiltMIN2113-812-9+6.0
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerMIN207-138-12+2.0

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-04-12MINOutLeft Knee; Injury Maintenance–––
2026-04-08MINQuestionableLeft Knee; Patella TendinopathyYes1918
2026-04-07MINOutLeft Knee; Patella Tendinopathy–––
2026-04-05MINOutLeft Knee; Patella Tendinopathy–––
2026-04-03MINOutLeft Knee; Patella Tendinopathy–––
2026-04-02MINOutLeft Knee; Patella Tendinopathy–––
2026-03-30MINOutLeft Knee; Patella Tendinopathy–––
2026-03-28MINOutRight Knee; Soreness–––
2025-12-25MINProbableLeft Oblique; ContusionYes4021
2025-12-23MINOutLeft Oblique; Contusion–––
2025-11-21MINQuestionableLeft Wrist; SprainYes4013
2025-11-19MINOutLeft Wrist; Sprain–––
2024-02-13MINQuestionableLeft Index Finger; SprainYes240
2024-02-12MINQuestionableLeft Index Finger; SprainYes2511
2023-12-18MINQuestionableSacral; ContusionYes3010
2023-12-14MINQuestionableRight Ankle; SprainYes2411
2023-12-11MINQuestionableRight Ankle; SprainYes2712
2023-12-08MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-12-06MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-12-02MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-30MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-28MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-26MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-24MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-22MINOutRight Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-01MINProbableLeft Calf; StrainYes216
2023-10-30MINQuestionableLeft Calf; StrainYes2412
2023-10-28MINDoubtfulLeft Calf; Strain–––
2023-10-25MINOutLeft Calf; Strain–––
2023-04-25MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2023-04-23MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2023-04-21MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2023-04-19MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2023-04-16MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2023-04-14MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2023-04-11MINOutRight Hand; Fracture–––
2022-11-30MINQuestionableN/A; IllnessNo––
2022-11-28MINOutN/A; Illness–––
2022-11-27MINOutN/A; Illness–––
2022-04-07MINQuestionableLeft Ankle; SprainYes2110
2022-04-05MINQuestionableLeft Ankle; SprainYes150
2022-04-03MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-04-01MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-30MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-27MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-25MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-23MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-21MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-19MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2022-03-16MINOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2021-12-06MINProbableN/a; Illness, Flu-Like SymptomsYes225
2021-12-03MINQuestionableN/a; Flu-Like Symptoms–––
2021-12-01MINOutN/a; Flu-Like Symptoms–––
2021-11-29MINQuestionableN/A; Flu-Like Symptoms–––

Games missed while on the roster (8)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2022-11-30MINMEMINJURY/ILLNESSW
2021-03-14MINPORHEALTH & SAFETY PROTOCOLSW
2021-01-13MINMEMCOACH'S DECISIONL
2021-01-10MINSASCOACH'S DECISIONW
2021-01-09MINSASCOACH'S DECISIONL
2021-01-05MINDENCOACH'S DECISIONL
2020-12-26MINUTACOACH'S DECISIONW
2020-12-23MINDETCOACH'S DECISIONW

Game log (last 120 of 490 — full log in player vs team)

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-10-23@ORL115-93W+1.5W30156302026145113321224
2026-10-21@MIA131-106W+1.5W29178130218113002642526
2026-05-15 POSTSAS109-139L+5.5L2313130102413433105-2117
2026-05-12 POST@SAS97-126L+10.5L3017621023613722155-1225
2026-05-10 POSTSAS114-109W+5.5W4114600010615222244-520
2026-05-08 POSTSAS108-115L+5.5L4017721113522844434-1526
2026-05-06 POST@SAS95-133L+10.5L2012340120610101215-619
2026-05-04 POST@SAS104-102W+10.5W3616521110714222145-223
2026-04-27 POST@DEN113-125L+11.5L2713310140511335125-2517
2026-04-25 POSTDEN112-96W+1.5W33128301204111444451423
2026-04-23 POSTDEN113-96W-1.5W41201031101913311462833
2026-04-20 POST@DEN119-114W+7.5W3714230030715301115619
2026-04-18 POST@DEN105-116L+7.5L3316830010614444354-1727
2026-04-10@HOU136-132W+9.5W3516720400819300163-125
2026-04-08@ORL120-132L+11.5L1918221021816512111-1322
2026-03-25HOU110-108W+1.5W37252022131017423023-627
2026-03-22@BOS102-92W+10.5W3319630023818700061-328
2026-03-20POR104-108L-1.5L4016635110611146243-1125
2026-03-18UTA147-111W-12.5W26172311137157001131122
2026-03-17PHX116-104W-3.5W3716743101612334345-427
2026-03-15@OKC103-116L+8.5L16211002013200014-174
2026-03-13@GSW127-117W-4.5W301512114169322015718
2026-03-11@LAC128-153L+1.5L311123003156100022-4016
2026-03-10@LAL106-120L-2.5L26620102039500023-108
2026-03-07ORL92-119L-6.5L29342302009434044-239
2026-03-05TOR115-107W-4.5W21824102136311025214
2026-03-03MEM117-110W-14.5L321671101068144163524
2026-03-01@DEN117-108W+2.5W33201310209123220142024
2026-02-26@LAC94-88W-8.5L3212723010510122164-121
2026-02-24@POR124-121W-6.5L372962353512166013341037
2026-02-22PHI108-135L-9.5L3419621330512499063-2127
2026-02-20DAL122-111W-13.5L347852161311401084120
2026-02-11POR133-109W-7.5W33216622227133564231633
2026-02-09ATL138-116W-8.5W34185314027113241422526
2026-02-08LAC96-115L-8.5L28220102014000022-124
2026-02-06NOP115-119L-8.5L2261200202832210519
2026-02-04@TOR128-126W-2.5L4019140211813322013-124
2026-02-02@MEM128-137L-7.5L37294300051114722314236
2026-01-31@MEM131-114W-11.5W3420420033814511134-126
2026-01-29OKC123-111W+5.5W31214402258115002231829
2026-01-28@DAL118-105W-8.5W30822000238500024-412
2026-01-26GSW108-83W-8.5W3014330332494440311720
2026-01-25GSW85-111L-5.5L28331104118100123-137
2026-01-22CHI115-120L-9.5L361655012269222142226
2026-01-20@UTA122-127L-12.5L3518661152716722243330
2026-01-17@SAS123-126L+4.5W4123551111714289143-633
2026-01-16@HOU105-110L+3.5L3515742211514445346-526
2026-01-13@MIL139-106W+1.5W3017650214696121522428
2026-01-11SAS104-103W-2.5L361251231059322142-318
2026-01-10@CLE134-146L+2.5L271211001047245014-1714
2026-01-08CLE131-122W-3.5W382651201311144141421232
2026-01-06MIA122-94W-5.5W34193221117154451231824
2026-01-04@WAS141-115W-10.5W2212553010340661441422
2026-01-03@MIA125-115W-2.5W34523222124200023110
2025-12-31@ATL102-126L-5.5L22842012235300133-1214
2025-12-29@CHI136-101W-6.5W237530001391002311215
2025-12-27BKN107-123L-12.5L3316341021711112124-423
2025-12-25@DEN138-142L-1.5L4021440231912322045429
2025-12-21MIL103-100W-12.5L9011000004100012-122
2025-12-19OKC112-107W+5.5W3713420021413644222-519
2025-12-17MEM110-116L-6.5L3713761111411244076926
2025-12-14SAC117-103W-9.5W38214220217197661341827
2025-12-12@GSW127-120W+4.5W3517551031815501233027
2025-12-08PHX105-108L-8.5L40463011017523243013
2025-12-06LAC109-106W-8.5L37271221231013345012130
2025-12-04@NOP125-116W-11.5L3514752220614222254626
2025-12-02@NOP149-142W-12.5L3317421103710300223523
2025-11-30SAS125-112W-4.5W33134310016134000431420
2025-11-29BOS119-115W-5.5L268431122384002262415
2025-11-26@OKC105-113L+10.5W301063003236222244019
2025-11-24@SAC112-117L-9.5L376822040310300265-616
2025-11-21@PHX113-114L-4.5L4013524010512533324920
2025-11-17DAL120-96W-13.5W2315532133464450501523
2025-11-15DEN112-123L+1.5L3315432201715300135-1822
2025-11-14SAC124-110W-11.5W311343004069211133420
2025-11-10@UTA120-113W-7.5L3516632011613233064825
2025-11-09@SAC144-117W-4.5W26215302228103331441529
2025-11-07UTA137-97W-12.5W27227132239143123423530
2025-11-05@NYK114-137L+3.5L3213430033410522134-720
2025-11-03@BKN125-109W-9.5W29223321229113230352328
2025-11-01@CHA122-105W-4.5W3214460032610200046524
2025-10-29LAL115-116L-7.5L413071102311194553411038
2025-10-27DEN114-127L+6.5L35253104211016344031-1329
2025-10-26IND114-110W-11.5L3511511201313646324-617
2025-10-24@LAL110-128L-1.5L2710200100512400115-1412
2025-10-22@POR118-114W-4.5L2918521333612434054325
2025-05-28 POST@OKC94-124L+8.5L215510011213500231-1611
2025-05-26 POSTOKC126-128L+3.5W3122424123915611133-528
2025-05-24 POSTOKC143-101W+2.5W2610640002394224222820
2025-05-22 POST@OKC103-118L+8.5L3522200314815822115-424
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