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Peyton Watson

G · #8 · CLE · 2022-23 to 2026-27 · 254 games played
Minutes risk: High
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: HighNext game 2026-10-26 vs MIN
  • Volatile: last 20: ±8.2 min std dev, 25% of games 6+ min under his median
  • Trending down: last 5 avg 22.6 min vs 29.6
  • Back from absence: game 2 back after missing 11 (Right Hamstring; Strain (end of last season)); minutes so far 30,31 vs 27 before (already at his usual minutes)
31.1 ± 8.2Last-20 minutes per game (median 33.5, range 9–40, 10th pct 20.9)
22.6 / 26.4Last 5 / last 10 MPG · 2026-27 30.5 in 2 games
5% · 25% · 25%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 25% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 1530.6
Blowout (15+ either way)1225.8
Rested (1+ days off)29.8
2nd night of back-to-back1130.0
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat0 of 11
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started75% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes19.75.33.4
Actual per game (31.1 min)16.94.62.9

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2026-02-07 → 2026-03-20Right hamstring; strain193620232122956%60%
2025-12-18 → 2025-12-20Right trunk; contusion2292824423532364029443798%109%
2025-02-01 → 2025-03-02Right knee; sprain1321172462416162335252781%74%
2023-03-03 → 2023-03-19G league - on assignment93332272018261726488%78%
2022-11-28 → 2023-01-31G league - on assignment322129811423340%160%
2022-11-20 → 2022-11-23Non-covid; illness33212981142377%64%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2026-27CLE230.530.50.70%0%–31.0–30.5
2025-26DEN5429.632.58.411%35%30.029.825.830.6
2024-25DEN8222.622.08.041%77%25.322.321.323.2
2023-24DEN8917.718.05.758%97%18.817.619.717.0
2022-23DEN277.33.08.685%100%20.75.94.212.6

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2022-23DEN2328.03.31.60.50.10.50.30.35.3-2.049.242.95513-1015-8
2023-24DEN80418.66.73.21.10.51.10.70.610.9-0.946.529.667.056-2438-41-1
2024-25DEN681824.48.13.41.40.71.40.80.712.9-0.447.735.369.340-2830-38
2025-26DEN544029.614.64.92.10.91.11.71.521.63.649.141.173.036-1830-24
2026-27CLE2230.59.5231.513.5114.5-1333.322.283.31-10-2
Career2276622.08.73.51.40.61.11.00.813.50.147.835.869.9146-81113-113-1
Playoffs (career)27011.23.22.20.30.40.60.40.45.7-5.536.433.35016-1115-12

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+7/10 70%17/20 85%1/2 50%39/54 72%85/254 33%
PTS15+3/10 30%11/20 55%0/2 0%26/54 48%40/254 16%
PTS20+2/10 20%6/20 30%0/2 0%16/54 30%18/254 7%
PTS25+1/10 10%3/20 15%0/2 0%7/54 13%7/254 3%
PTS30+0/10 0%2/20 10%0/2 0%4/54 7%4/254 2%
REB4+6/10 60%14/20 70%0/2 0%36/54 67%114/254 45%
REB6+2/10 20%5/20 25%0/2 0%18/54 33%37/254 15%
REB8+0/10 0%2/20 10%0/2 0%8/54 15%13/254 5%
REB10+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%4/54 7%4/254 2%
REB12+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%1/54 2%1/254 0%
AST3+6/10 60%13/20 65%1/2 50%23/54 43%45/254 18%
AST5+1/10 10%3/20 15%0/2 0%4/54 7%7/254 3%
3PM1+7/10 70%16/20 80%1/2 50%39/54 72%118/254 46%
3PM2+4/10 40%10/20 50%1/2 50%19/54 35%45/254 18%
3PM3+1/10 10%4/20 20%0/2 0%9/54 17%13/254 5%
3PM4+1/10 10%4/20 20%0/2 0%7/54 13%10/254 4%
3PM5+1/10 10%2/20 10%0/2 0%5/54 9%5/254 2%
PRA20+5/10 50%13/20 65%0/2 0%29/54 54%48/254 19%
PRA25+2/10 20%9/20 45%0/2 0%18/54 33%21/254 8%
PRA30+1/10 10%4/20 20%0/2 0%10/54 19%12/254 5%
PRA35+1/10 10%3/20 15%0/2 0%8/54 15%8/254 3%
PRA40+0/10 0%2/20 10%0/2 0%4/54 7%4/254 2%
STL1+5/10 50%10/20 50%2/2 100%34/54 63%119/254 47%
STL2+2/10 20%5/20 25%1/2 50%12/54 22%31/254 12%
BLK1+7/10 70%15/20 75%2/2 100%36/54 67%158/254 62%
BLK2+2/10 20%7/20 35%0/2 0%16/54 30%70/254 28%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games254162-9220.88.13.41.20.61.10.90.8
Last 10106-426.413.34.12.80.712.21.4
Last 202013-731.116.94.62.90.81.42.11.9
2026-2721-130.59.5231.513.51
2025-265436-1829.614.64.92.10.91.11.71.5
Home12590-3520.98.33.41.40.71.20.90.8
Away12972-5720.87.93.31.10.60.91.00.7
Started6635-3131.814.94.71.90.91.31.71.5
Off the bench188127-6117.05.72.91.00.51.00.60.5
Team won162162-020.78.73.51.30.61.10.90.9
Team lost920-9221.07.03.11.10.611.00.6
Team favored185131-5420.27.73.31.30.61.10.70.7
Team underdog6931-3822.69.03.51.20.81.11.41.0
Back-to-back (2nd night)3926-1324.18.73.51.30.61.31.30.7
1 day rest160104-5620.88.43.51.30.71.10.90.8
2+ days rest5031-1919.07.13.010.40.90.80.6
Playoffs2716-1111.23.22.20.30.40.60.40.4

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
LAC1811-717.45.92.60.70.70.50.60.3
MIN188-1017.33.52.70.80.41.10.60.2
OKC166-1019.48.93.20.80.81.11.11.2
UTA1411-319.17.33.51.60.51.10.70.4
DAL138-523.89.53.81.50.40.90.81.2
LAL1310-317.66.11.710.40.90.90.8
PHX138-518.953.51.20.20.70.60.5
SAC139-420.86.93.40.80.61.11.40.6
GSW1210-219.26.92.610.20.90.80.8
HOU105-5166.531.10.510.50.6
MEM97-221.612.24.31.40.71.10.91.8
NOP96-321.111.84.92.20.911.11
POR95-419.49.44.30.80.40.70.60.9
ATL76-121.99.33.71.31.11.71.10.6
BKN76-127.613.942.70.611.31.3
SAS74-324.47.45.120.71.40.90.3
WAS75-223.110.73.720.92.11.61.1
MIA65-123.26.33.51.50.70.80.70.3
PHI64-225.29.22.82.50.80.820.7
CHA54-119.26.63.80.40.61.21.40.6
CHI52-327.67.83.41.41.41.81.20.6
DET53-226.810.82.82.2121.40.6
IND54-123.67.440.21.21.610.6
MIL54-124104.62.20.210.61.2
NYK51-4226.22.210.20.61.20.2
TOR55-02312.84.40.8110.80.8
BOS43-127.21640.80.82.51.22.5
CLE41-32613321.20.81.21.2
ORL41-317.56.22.20.20.50.80.50.2

Team with him vs without him

SeasonTeamMPGWith: GW-LATSMarginWithout: GW-LATSMargin
2025-26DEN29.65436-1830-24+4.92313-1011-12+4.4
2024-25DEN22.68247-3538-44+1.71410-48-6+7.9

Best on-court partners (2025-26+)

Minutes together and net rating per 100 possessions (pbpstats).

WithSeasonMin+/-Net
Jamal Murray2025-261189+179+8.1
Tim Hardaway Jr.2025-26844+151+9.3
Nikola Jokic2025-26835+240+13.8
Spencer Jones2025-26752-36-0.1
Bruce Brown2025-26698+49+5.1
Cameron Johnson2025-26414+129+15.3
Jalen Pickett2025-26357-16-3.6
Aaron Gordon2025-26298+81+16.3
Jonas Valanciunas2025-26279-3-0.3
Christian Braun2025-26226+64+15.0
Zeke Nnaji2025-26205-2+2.8

Teammates he wins with (both started)

TeammateTeamGW-LATSMargin
Jamal MurrayDEN5127-2425-26+1.5
Nikola JokicDEN4022-1819-21+3.5
Spencer JonesDEN3118-1316-15+1.7
Christian BraunDEN2611-1512-14+0.6
Michael Porter Jr.DEN209-119-11+1.1

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-04-30DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-27DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-25DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-23DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-20DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-18DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-12DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-10DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-08DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-06DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-04-04DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-25DENQuestionableRight Hamstring; Injury ManagementYes2321
2026-03-24DENOutRight Hamstring; Injury Management–––
2026-03-22DENAvailableRight Hamstring; StrainYes2014
2026-03-20DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-18DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-17DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-14DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-12DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-11DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-09DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-06DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-05DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-02DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-03-01DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-02-27DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-02-25DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-02-22DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-02-20DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-02-19DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2026-02-11DENOutRight Hamstring; StrainNo––
2026-02-09DENOutRight Hamstring; StrainNo––
2026-02-07DENOutRight Hamstring; StrainNo––
2026-01-27DENProbableRight Ankle; Strain/Left Ankle SprainYes3713
2026-01-25DENQuestionableRight Ankle; Strain/Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-01-23DENQuestionableRight Ankle; Strain/Left Ankle Sprain–––
2025-12-23DENProbableRight Trunk; ContusionYes244
2025-12-22DENQuestionableRight Trunk; ContusionYes2820
2025-12-20DENOutRight Trunk; Contusion–––
2025-12-18DENQuestionableRight Trunk; Contusion–––
2025-04-04DENQuestionableRight Knee; InflammationYes334
2025-04-02DENQuestionableRight Knee; InflammationNo––
2025-03-09DENAvailable-Yes60
2025-03-05DENQuestionableRight Knee; SprainYes172
2025-03-02DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-28DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-27DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-24DENOutInflammation Right Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-22DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-20DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-12DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-10DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-08DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-06DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-05DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-03DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-02-01DENOutRight Knee; Sprain–––
2025-01-21DENProbableHead; ContusionYes183
2024-12-03DENProbableRight Adductor; StrainYes187
2024-12-01DENProbableRight Adductor; StrainYes2913
2024-11-27DENProbableRight Adductor; StrainYes289
2024-11-25DENProbableRight Adductor; StrainYes226
2024-02-04DENProbableLeft Knee; ContusionYes3012
2024-02-02DENProbableLeft Knee; ContusionYes2214
2024-01-14DENAvailableIllness; IllnessYes140
2023-12-01DENProbableIllness; IllnessYes258
2023-11-29DENProbableIllness; IllnessNo––
2023-11-27DENProbableIllness; IllnessYes248
2023-11-26DENQuestionableIllness; IllnessYes224
2023-03-30DENQuestionableNon-covid; IllnessYes20
2023-03-14DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-03-12DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-03-10DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-03-08DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-03-06DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-03-03DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-01-24DENQuestionableLeft Adductor; StrainNo––
2023-01-22DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-20DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-18DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-17DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-15DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-13DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-11DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-09DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-06DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-05DENOutLeft Adductor; Strain–––
2023-01-02DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2023-01-01DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-30DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-28DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-27DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-23DENQuestionableRight Ankle; SprainNo––
2022-12-20DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-18DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-16DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-14DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-12-06DENQuestionableRight Hamstring; StrainNo––
2022-12-04DENOutRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2022-12-02DENQuestionableRight Hamstring; Strain–––
2022-11-30DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-28DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-23DENOutNon-covid; Illness–––
2022-11-22DENQuestionableNon-covid; Illness–––
2022-11-13DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-11DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-09DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-07DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-05DENOutG League - On Assignment–––
2022-11-03DENOutG League - On Assignment–––

Games missed while on the roster (46)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2026-02-11DENMEMRIGHT HAMSTRING STRAINW
2026-02-09DENCLERIGHT HAMSTRING STRAINL
2026-02-07DENCHISTRAINED RIGHT HAMSTRINGW
2025-04-02DENSASRIGHT KNEE INFLAMMATIONL
2024-05-19DENMINCOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-05-14DENMINDNPW
2024-05-12DENMINCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-11-29DENHOUCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-11-19DENCLECOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-06-12DENMIACOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-06-09DENMIACOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-06-07DENMIADNPW
2023-06-04DENMIACOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-06-01DENMIACOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-05-22DENLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-05-20DENLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-05-18DENLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-05-16DENLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-05-07DENPHXCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-05-05DENPHXCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-05-01DENPHXCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-04-25DENMINCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-04-23DENMINCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-04-21DENMINCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-04-19DENMINCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-03-27DENPHICOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-03-19DENBKNCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-03-18DENNYKCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-03-16DENDETCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-26DENLACCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-23DENCLECOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-13DENMIACOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-09DENORLCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-01-31DENNOPCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-01-25DENMILCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-01-24DENNOPCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-25DENPHXCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-23DENPORCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-10DENUTACOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-08DENPORCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-06DENDALCOACH'S DECISIONL
2022-11-20DENDALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-11-16DENNYKCOACH'S DECISIONL
2022-10-30DENLALCOACH'S DECISIONL
2022-10-22DENOKCCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-10-21DENGSWCOACH'S DECISIONW

Game log (last 120 of 254 — full log in player vs team)

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-10-24BKN125-121W-11.5L3111341122411612216-718
2026-10-22@PHI106-114L+2.5L30812215027344012-1911
2026-04-01@UTA130-117W-17.5L963000103520012169
2026-03-29GSW116-93W-11.5W22106501223115222451121
2026-03-27UTA135-129W-19.5L217540241210223144-216
2026-03-25DAL142-135W-10.5L2321430002710356042328
2026-03-22POR128-112W-8.5W2014630001613512063223
2026-02-04@NYK127-134L+4.5L3310521111413612232-417
2026-02-03@DET121-124L+5.5W38173223304111911123922
2026-02-01OKC111-121L+7.5L37295311451117724053-937
2026-01-30LAC122-109W+2.5W35214300329175122212228
2026-01-29BKN107-103W-6.5L3419230202715336021024
2026-01-27DET107-109L+7.5W3713330331620600033-1219
2026-01-22@WAS107-97W-6.5W4035832416101689101721346
2026-01-20LAL107-115L+3.5L3818533134717800143-626
2026-01-18CHA87-110L+2.5L2911401320412434041-2915
2026-01-17WAS121-115W-10.5L3521521121814248055528
2026-01-14@DAL118-109W+1.5W3118520022612545055225
2026-01-13@NOP122-116W-2.5W393175212111164890731543
2026-01-11MIL108-104W+6.5W3919860234719612262233
2026-01-09ATL87-110L+3.5L34251143152919457293240
2026-01-07@BOS114-110W+10.5W37306212461015748155438
2026-01-05@PHI125-124W+14.5W44247412627133810070235
2026-01-04@BKN115-127L-2.5L2923420111814467134-929
2026-01-02@CLE108-113L+13.5W4021431022922912045-428
2025-12-31@TOR106-103W+7.5W3624802011919657172632
2025-12-29@MIA123-147L-1.5L3211211110410234023-914
2025-12-27@ORL126-127L-3.5L3515502011693221411120
2025-12-25MIN142-138W+1.5W429403021352221341513
2025-12-23@DAL130-131L-6.5L24421003003244024-97
2025-12-22UTA135-112W-12.5W2820321103794340321825
2025-12-15HOU128-125W+1.5W6500100124200001-35
2025-12-11@SAC136-105W-10.5W23212100227103582031724
2025-12-07@CHA115-106W-10.5L3010810141492151701019
2025-12-05@ATL134-133W-3.5L289621201411400064-917
2025-12-03@IND135-120W-8.5W3611701301383450742218
2025-12-01DAL121-131L-11.5L3515530301714400050-523
2025-11-29@PHX130-112W-3.5W2811530001341441421719
2025-11-28SAS136-139L-7.5L3415631111511544333424
2025-11-24@MEM125-115W-8.5W332753111511221200234335
2025-11-22SAC123-128L-11.5L3415710033610500163323
2025-11-21@HOU112-109W+3.5W3491031130350342821522
2025-11-19@NOP125-118W-10.5L343212310451319911394347
2025-11-17CHI127-130L-12.5L3453113112410003159
2025-11-15@MIN123-112W-1.5W34123021105111241231115
2025-11-12@LAC130-116W-4.5W22221010014302111-15
2025-11-11@SAC122-108W-8.5W18030111003100036-43
2025-11-08IND117-100W-9.5W2716713011713411433124
2025-11-07GSW129-104W-9.5W2410312101361340311314
2025-11-05MIA122-112W-9.5W182103022004122281215
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