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Will Richard

G · #3 · GSW · 2025-26 to 2026-27 · 73 games played
Minutes risk: High
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: HighNext game 2026-10-26 @ DEN
  • Volatile: last 20: ±10.9 min std dev, 30% of games 6+ min under his median
  • Trending down: last 5 avg 15.0 min vs 19.6
19.8 ± 10.9Last-20 minutes per game (median 22.5, range 1–32, 10th pct 3.0)
15.0 / 15.2Last 5 / last 10 MPG · 2026-27 18.0 in 3 games
35% · 50% · 65%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 30% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 1518.8
Blowout (15+ either way)2421.2
Rested (1+ days off)18.5
2nd night of back-to-back1723.4
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat0 of 17
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started30% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes8.03.81.5
Actual per game (19.8 min)4.42.10.8

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2026-04-07 → 2026-04-09Bilateral low back; strain222320114%36%
2026-03-02 → 2026-03-09Right ankle; sprain41932292932252831122025172%161%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2026-27GSW318.020.014.133%67%31.03.020.017.0
2025-26GSW7019.720.07.849%81%22.918.821.318.9

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2025-26GSW692120.06.42.51.31.20.10.81.010.2-1.446.833.585.234-3532-37
2026-27GSW31186.31.70.71.30.30.718.71.753.35000-31-2
Career722219.96.42.51.31.20.10.81.010.2-1.347.133.983.634-3833-39

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+1/10 10%3/20 15%1/3 33%17/70 24%18/73 25%
PTS15+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%6/70 9%6/73 8%
PTS20+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%3/70 4%3/73 4%
PTS25+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%1/70 1%1/73 1%
PTS30+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%1/70 1%1/73 1%
REB4+2/10 20%5/20 25%1/3 33%19/70 27%20/73 27%
REB6+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%6/70 9%6/73 8%
AST3+1/10 10%1/20 5%0/3 0%11/70 16%11/73 15%
AST5+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%3/70 4%3/73 4%
AST7+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%1/70 1%1/73 1%
3PM1+2/10 20%8/20 40%1/3 33%44/70 63%45/73 62%
3PM2+2/10 20%3/20 15%1/3 33%16/70 23%17/73 23%
3PM3+1/10 10%2/20 10%1/3 33%7/70 10%8/73 11%
3PM4+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/3 0%3/70 4%3/73 4%
3PM5+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%1/70 1%1/73 1%
PRA20+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%7/70 10%7/73 10%
PRA25+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%3/70 4%3/73 4%
PRA30+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%2/70 3%2/73 3%
PRA35+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%1/70 1%1/73 1%
PRA40+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/3 0%1/70 1%1/73 1%
STL1+5/10 50%14/20 70%3/3 100%46/70 66%49/73 67%
STL2+1/10 10%4/20 20%1/3 33%20/70 29%21/73 29%
BLK1+2/10 20%4/20 20%1/3 33%9/70 13%10/73 14%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games7334-3919.66.32.41.31.20.10.81.0
Last 10101-915.22.91.70.90.60.20.20.5
Last 20204-1619.84.42.10.810.20.70.7
2026-2730-3186.31.70.71.30.30.71
2025-267034-3619.76.32.51.31.10.10.81.0
Home3620-1618.35.62.61.20.80.20.60.9
Away3714-2320.972.31.41.50.10.91.1
Started2210-1224.78.43.31.91.30.20.91.4
Off the bench5124-2717.45.42.11.11.10.10.70.9
Team won3434-019.77.32.61.51.10.10.71.3
Team lost390-3919.55.52.31.21.20.10.80.8
Team favored4327-1618.462.51.41.10.10.71.0
Team underdog307-2321.46.72.31.21.20.10.81
Back-to-back (2nd night)177-1023.47.42.51.41.50.11.21.2
1 day rest4020-2018.06.02.11.31.10.10.71.0
2+ days rest146-820.15.93.11.210.20.60.9

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
LAL41-312.24.21.80.80.50.20.50.2
MEM43-114.272.81.81.2010.8
PHX42-219.59.520.80.80.212
DAL32-112.75.70.71.31.3001.7
DEN32-1229.73.32.70.7001
LAC31-212.31.7110.700.30.3
MIN31-2274.731.33.3010.7
NOP32-119.743.70.30.700.70.7
OKC30-324.7931.30.700.32
POR31-217.75.71.311.30.311
SAC31-21810.73.71.30.70.30.31.7
SAS32-121.3521.310.311
UTA33-020104.31.31.701.32.3
ATL20-221.54.531.50.5030.5
BKN22-021.56.51.51.51.50.511
BOS20-224.5123.521.50.501.5
CHA22-02484420.51.51
CHI21-1288.540.5200.52
CLE21-11922.50100.50
DET20-221.55.51.50.50.501.50.5
HOU20-217930.51001
MIA21-1222.533.510.50.50.5
MIL21-112.53.50.50.51000.5
NYK21-122410.51.5011
ORL21-11430.51.50.500.50.5
PHI20-216.5411.51021
TOR20-22953.5130.51.50.5
WAS22-028.542.520.5001
IND11-01915311000

Best on-court partners (2025-26+)

Minutes together and net rating per 100 possessions (pbpstats).

WithSeasonMin+/-Net
Brandin Podziemski2025-26601-8+0.8
Moses Moody2025-26394+27+4.1
Pat Spencer2025-26393+3+3.2
Gui Santos2025-26390-5+1.1
Draymond Green2025-26362-39-4.9
Quinten Post2025-26328+71+11.4
Jimmy Butler2025-26327+68+11.3
Al Horford2025-26325-5-1.4
De'Anthony Melton2025-26276+29+7.2
Buddy Hield2025-26267+6+4.1
Gary Payton II2025-26255-56-9.2
Stephen Curry2025-26250-22-4.5
Trayce Jackson-Davis2025-26171-32-1.5

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-04-12GSWQuestionableBilateral Low Back; StrainYes200
2026-04-10GSWQuestionableBilateral Low Back; StrainYes30
2026-04-09GSWOutBilateral Low Back; StrainNo––
2026-03-29GSWQuestionableLeft Heel; SorenessNo––
2026-03-09GSWOutRight Ankle; SprainNo––
2026-03-07GSWQuestionableRight Ankle; SprainNo––
2026-03-05GSWOutRight Ankle; SprainNo––
2026-03-02GSWOutRight Ankle; SprainNo––
2026-02-11GSWQuestionableRight Knee; ContusionNo––
2026-02-09GSWQuestionableRight Knee; SorenessYes153
2026-01-20GSWQuestionableRight Gluteal; StrainYes230
2026-01-03GSWProbableLeft Retrocalcaneal; ImpingementYes188

Games missed while on the roster (14)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2026-04-15GSWLACCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-04-09GSWLALLOW BACK STRAINL
2026-04-07GSWSACLOWER BACK SORENESSW
2026-03-29GSWDENLEFT HEELL
2026-03-09GSWUTASPRAINED RIGHT ANKLEL
2026-03-07GSWOKCRIGHT ANKLE SPRAINL
2026-03-05GSWHOURIGHT ANKLE SPRAINW
2026-03-02GSWLACSPRAINED RIGHT ANKLEL
2026-02-11GSWSASRIGHT KNEE CONTUSIONL
2025-12-18GSWPHXCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-12-14GSWPORCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-12-12GSWMINCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-11-04GSWPHXCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-11-01GSWINDCOACH'S DECISIONL

Game log

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-10-24@PHX122-131L+9.5W311101212349600003012
2026-10-23MEM108-111L-4.5L300010000100000050
2026-10-21@LAL105-127L+6.5L20851100045001414014
2026-04-17 PI@PHX96-111L+2.5L100000000000000020
2026-04-12@LAC110-115L+3.5L20021100003300112-123
2026-04-10@SAC118-124L-10.5L302001000110011002
2026-04-05HOU116-117L+3.5W6001000000000000-121
2026-04-02CLE111-118L+10.5W17020100003200021-82
2026-04-01SAS113-127L+14.5W26243000013200132-189
2026-03-27WAS131-126W-12.5L25822000235400201-1012
2026-03-25BKN109-106W-12.5L20320111111100023-135
2026-03-23@DAL137-131W-3.5W121201100445400002-413
2026-03-21@ATL110-126L+7.5L31951103147400234-1215
2026-03-20@DET101-115L+6.5L281110102145222013-412
2026-03-18@BOS99-120L+11.5L25722200036311020-711
2026-03-16@WAS125-117W-7.5W32032100006400123-25
2026-03-15@NYK107-110L+14.5W2952130212320011478
2026-03-13MIN117-127L+4.5L2905010100330014315
2026-03-10CHI124-130L-6.5L32841301139511223-413
2026-02-28LAL101-129L+3.5L5410011023000101-95
2026-02-25@MEM133-112W-3.5W3021563012915611322632
2026-02-24@NOP109-113L-1.5L17020200001100111-192
2026-02-22DEN128-117W+6.5W3011231001494220231016
2026-02-19BOS110-121L+5.5L2417521103611722233-1324
2026-02-09MEM114-113W-9.5L15340002111100135-67
2026-02-07@LAL99-105L+1.5L10001001002200001-131
2026-02-05@PHX101-97W+5.5W277321001264223021612
2026-02-03PHI94-113L-4.5L13321002113300110-76
2026-01-30DET124-131L-2.5L15021001001100111-83
2026-01-28@UTA140-124W-8.5W201353302358600232-321
2026-01-26@MIN83-108L+8.5L28423601029600021-119
2026-01-25@MIN111-85W+5.5W241021301249500111713
2026-01-22@DAL115-123L-6.5L13002300001100002-52
2026-01-20TOR127-145L-4.5L2300110100430000271
2026-01-19MIA135-112W-5.5W265372101253001231915
2026-01-17CHA136-116W-7.5W31116531115125003332422
2026-01-15NYK126-113W-7.5W15300000111100000-23
2026-01-13POR119-97W-10.5W1980021122552200018
2026-01-11ATL111-124L-7.5L12012003002100013-53
2026-01-09SAC137-103W-15.5W16221100012100111185
2026-01-07MIL120-113W-6.5W1301000000000001111
2026-01-05@LAC102-103L-3.5L11012000002100010-53
2026-01-03UTA123-114W-12.5L18820002235400022-110
2026-01-02OKC94-131L+13.5L2713511012515611320-1919
2025-12-31@CHA132-125W-7.5L17523102123200203110
2025-12-29@BKN120-107W-6.5W2310132011474110112214
2025-12-28@TOR127-141L-4.5L351071512137534254-1518
2025-12-25DAL126-116W-8.5W1352100012650011018
2025-12-22ORL120-97W-6.5W13011000002200012-12
2025-12-20PHX119-116W-6.5L192050002467444233125
2025-12-07@CHI123-91W-1.5W249401003355001323613
2025-12-06@CLE99-94W+8.5W21430101014222121-17
2025-12-04@PHI98-99L+4.5W20502202122100002107
2025-12-02OKC112-124L+11.5L25542000125300041-411
2025-11-29NOP104-96W-9.5L20320000114300021-25
2025-11-26HOU100-104L-3.5L2818602002712722334124
2025-11-24UTA134-117W-13.5W229612002374122422916
2025-11-21POR123-127L-9.5L9221000012100022-45
2025-11-19@MIA96-110L+10.5L18030001003200121-253
2025-11-18@ORL113-121L-2.5L15602101122112003-48
2025-11-16@NOP124-106W-11.5W229710021495005211117
2025-11-14@SAS109-108W+2.5W161010210247500014011
2025-11-12@SAS125-120W+3.5W2231110311220001315
2025-11-11@OKC102-126L+7.5L22901100336501004-410
2025-11-09IND114-83W-13.5W1915311000482781211919
2025-11-07@DEN104-129L+9.5L1912320001510511212-1017
2025-11-05@SAC116-121L+3.5L35307310151015857523140
2025-10-30@MIL110-120L-7.5L12701200122122000-108
2025-10-28LAC98-79W+1.5W6500101123200001-95
2025-10-27MEM131-118W-8.5W942110102310011217
2025-10-24@POR119-139L-2.5L25722202124322024-1311
2025-10-23DEN137-131W-1.5W17653100125412141-314
2025-10-21@LAL119-109W-2.5W14511100122100102-117