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Ajay Mitchell

G · #25 · OKC · 2024-25 to 2026-27 · 119 games played
Minutes risk: Low
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: LowNext game 2026-10-25 vs LAC · line -16.5

No minutes flags right now.

26.4 ± 5.9Last-20 minutes per game (median 26.5, range 16–36, 10th pct 18.8)
25.0 / 28.0Last 5 / last 10 MPG · 2026-27 23.0 in 2 games
15% · 35% · 50%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 15% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 1527.6
Blowout (15+ either way)3424.8
Rested (1+ days off)26.5
2nd night of back-to-back926.0
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat0 of 9
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started33% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes17.24.35.5
Actual per game (26.4 min)12.63.14.0

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2026-04-10 → 2026-04-12Left ankle; injury management2232229323428303033342896%121%
2026-01-23 → 2026-03-07Abdominal; strain202829302728231525252436104%102%
2025-12-23 → 2025-12-25Concussion protocol2242023232527243338273085%94%
2025-01-05 → 2025-04-09Right great toe; sprain461918181421318219597%90%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2026-27OKC223.023.00.00%100%–23.0–23.0
2025-26OKC6826.327.05.710%54%26.026.524.827.8
2024-25OKC4914.316.07.180%98%14.714.415.713.0

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2024-25OKC37116.66.51.91.80.70.10.80.610.13.348.737.182.131-625-12
2025-26OKC571625.813.63.33.61.20.31.41.120.58.848.534.787.050-730-27
2026-27OKC202382.532.50.52013.51136.801002-02-0
Career961722.210.72.82.91.10.21.20.916.46.748.234.686.283-1357-39
Playoffs (career)23717.492.22.40.80.00.90.813.66.245.934.088.618-514-9

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+7/10 70%12/20 60%1/2 50%53/68 78%67/119 56%
PTS15+5/10 50%7/20 35%0/2 0%30/68 44%32/119 27%
PTS20+4/10 40%4/20 20%0/2 0%11/68 16%11/119 9%
PTS25+1/10 10%1/20 5%0/2 0%2/68 3%2/119 2%
REB4+5/10 50%9/20 45%1/2 50%30/68 44%36/119 30%
REB6+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%11/68 16%12/119 10%
REB8+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%1/68 1%2/119 2%
REB10+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/68 0%1/119 1%
REB12+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/68 0%1/119 1%
AST3+7/10 70%14/20 70%1/2 50%47/68 69%60/119 50%
AST5+5/10 50%9/20 45%1/2 50%19/68 28%22/119 18%
AST7+1/10 10%2/20 10%0/2 0%6/68 9%7/119 6%
AST9+1/10 10%1/20 5%0/2 0%3/68 4%3/119 3%
3PM1+4/10 40%12/20 60%0/2 0%46/68 68%68/119 57%
3PM2+2/10 20%5/20 25%0/2 0%22/68 32%27/119 23%
3PM3+1/10 10%2/20 10%0/2 0%5/68 7%6/119 5%
3PM4+1/10 10%1/20 5%0/2 0%1/68 1%1/119 1%
PRA20+5/10 50%8/20 40%0/2 0%37/68 54%40/119 34%
PRA25+4/10 40%4/20 20%0/2 0%19/68 28%20/119 17%
PRA30+3/10 30%3/20 15%0/2 0%7/68 10%8/119 7%
PRA35+2/10 20%2/20 10%0/2 0%2/68 3%2/119 2%
STL1+5/10 50%11/20 55%1/2 50%49/68 72%70/119 59%
STL2+5/10 50%8/20 40%1/2 50%27/68 40%34/119 29%
BLK1+2/10 20%4/20 20%1/2 50%16/68 24%21/119 18%
BLK2+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%3/68 4%3/119 3%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games119101-1821.310.42.62.81.00.21.10.9
Last 10109-12814.434.41.80.21.70.8
Last 202019-126.412.63.141.40.21.21
2026-2722-02382.532.50.520
2025-266860-826.313.83.43.71.30.31.41.1
Home6457-720.710.12.62.61.10.21.10.9
Away5544-1121.910.72.73.00.90.11.20.9
Started2423-128.815.73.74.01.20.21.51.2
Off the bench9578-1719.49.02.42.51.00.21.00.8
Team won101101-021.710.92.73.01.10.21.20.9
Team lost180-1818.77.62.11.90.80.110.4
Team favored11799-1821.410.52.62.81.00.21.10.9
Team underdog22-0121310020
Back-to-back (2nd night)1613-321.19.92.221.10.21.40.7
1 day rest6858-1022.411.22.53.01.10.21.20.9
2+ days rest3227-519.79.33.22.80.80.10.90.9
Playoffs2318-517.492.22.40.80.00.90.8

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
LAL88-025.215.92.63.91.500.91.1
PHX87-123.911.13.53.20.60.211.5
SAS85-323.96.93.82.91.50.11.60.4
DEN75-212.97.70.60.71.10.10.90.7
MIN75-216.98.11.91.40.400.40.3
IND64-212.36.51.51.50.300.70.2
LAC66-019.57.32.52.51.201.50.3
MEM66-021.713.83.52.810.20.81.5
POR65-124.315.53.731.20.22.21.3
UTA66-023.59.31.84.31.30.31.21.2
GSW54-12510.42.42.41.20.21.21
HOU54-114.89.42.42.60.80.40.41.4
NOP55-023.88.82.63.60.80.40.80.2
DAL43-119.87.82.21.8101.50.2
SAC44-025.515.524.51.80.52.51.5
ATL33-02283.74.71.3100.7
CHA32-12911.74.73.31.30.31.31.3
MIA32-122.7113.71.30.3030.3
ORL33-016.38.31.32001.30.7
WAS33-022.316.74.72.31.30.312
BOS21-127.511.53.5400.510.5
CHI22-020.59.524111.50.5
MIL21-120.511.52.521011
NYK22-018.582.52.50001
BKN11-02310721010
CLE11-0255291030
DET11-03614232110
PHI11-02013132002
TOR11-01913032001

Team with him vs without him

SeasonTeamMPGWith: GW-LATSMarginWithout: GW-LATSMargin
2025-26OKC26.36860-837-31+15.12514-119-16+1.6

Best on-court partners (2025-26+)

Minutes together and net rating per 100 possessions (pbpstats).

WithSeasonMin+/-Net
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander2025-26716+320+18.8
Chet Holmgren2025-26686+238+15.7
Cason Wallace2025-26657+218+16.0
Isaiah Joe2025-26480+170+16.6
Aaron Wiggins2025-26435+138+14.5
Alex Caruso2025-26423+227+23.7
Isaiah Hartenstein2025-26410+155+17.0
Luguentz Dort2025-26365+76+9.8
Jaylin Williams2025-26364+161+19.7
Jalen Williams2025-26334+58+8.1
Chet Holmgren2025-26 P226+90+20.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander2025-26 P207+82+18.4
Kenrich Williams2025-26206+115+25.7
Isaiah Hartenstein2025-26 P184+81+22.1
Branden Carlson2025-26176+29+11.3

Teammates he wins with (both started)

TeammateTeamGW-LATSMargin
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC2221-114-8+15.9
Chet HolmgrenOKC2121-015-6+17.6

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-05-30OKCOutRight Soleus; Strain–––
2026-05-28OKCOutRight Soleus; Strain–––
2026-05-26OKCOutRight Soleus; Strain–––
2026-05-24OKCOutRight Soleus; Strain–––
2026-04-12OKCOutLeft Ankle; Injury ManagementNo––
2026-04-10OKCOutNo––
2026-03-23OKCOutLeague SuspensionNo––
2026-03-07OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-03-04OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-03-03OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-03-01OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle sprain–––
2026-02-27OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-02-25OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-02-24OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-02-22OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-02-20OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-02-12OKCOutAbdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain–––
2026-02-11OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2026-02-09OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2026-02-07OKCOutAbdominal; StrainNo––
2026-02-04OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2026-02-03OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2026-02-01OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2026-01-29OKCOutN/a; Abdominal Strain–––
2026-01-27OKCOutN/a; Abdominal Strain–––
2026-01-25OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2026-01-23OKCOutAbdominal; Strain–––
2025-12-29OKCQuestionableLeft Shin; ContusionYes2310
2025-12-25OKCOutConcussion Protocol–––
2025-12-23OKCOutConcussion Protocol–––
2025-11-04OKCQuestionableBilateral Gluteal; ContusionYes208
2025-04-09OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-04-08OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-04-06OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-04-04OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-04-02OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-31OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-29OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-27OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-03-25OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-23OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-21OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-19OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-16OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-15OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-12OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-03-10OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-03-09OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-03-07OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-05OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-03OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-03-02OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-28OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-26OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-24OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-23OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-02-21OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-13OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-12OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-10OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-08OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-07OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-02-05OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-03OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-02-01OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-29OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-26OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-23OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-22OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-19OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-17OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-16OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-14OKCOutRight Great Toe;–––
2025-01-12OKCOutRight Great Toe; Surgery–––
2025-01-10OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-01-08OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––
2025-01-05OKCOutRight Great Toe; Sprain–––

Games missed while on the roster (15)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2026-04-12OKCPHXLEFT ANKLEL
2026-04-10OKCDENLEFT ANKLEL
2026-03-23OKCPHISUSPENDED BY LEAGUEW
2026-02-07OKCHOUABDOMINAL STRAINL
2025-06-16OKCINDCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-06-13OKCINDCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-06-11OKCINDCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-05-26OKCMINCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-05-22OKCMINCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-05-13OKCDENCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-05-11OKCDENCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-05-09OKCDENCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-05-05OKCDENCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-04-26OKCMEMCOACH'S DECISIONW
2025-04-22OKCMEMCOACH'S DECISIONW

Game log

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-10-22DEN96-84W-7.5W23120051305114220021012
2026-10-20@SAS116-104W-1.5W234560010281000531215
2026-05-22 POST@SAS123-108W+3.5W17251003015100051-38
2026-05-20 POSTSAS122-113W-7.5W2810024130482220001112
2026-05-18 POSTSAS115-122L-7.5L34445200025100045713
2026-05-11 POST@LAL115-110W-12.5L332834401112194331221735
2026-05-09 POST@LAL131-108W-9.5W3024410300210174232231438
2026-05-07 POSTLAL125-107W-15.5W30203600207123671221829
2026-05-05 POSTLAL108-90W-15.5W28182400117165330211424
2026-04-27 POST@PHX131-122W-11.5L34224600347166441322732
2026-04-25 POST@PHX121-109W-8.5W32156200115205442411523
2026-04-22 POSTPHX120-107W-17.5L2914552011512534322924
2026-04-19 POSTPHX119-84W-16.5W229522003374003212216
2026-04-08@LAC128-110W-8.5W247131000361120111411
2026-04-07@LAL123-87W-17.5W21933100139322211715
2026-04-05UTA146-111W-24.5W197171021394000111515
2026-04-02LAL139-96W-9.5W1610310002474002132514
2026-03-30DET114-110W-11.5L3614232110410166023519
2026-03-29NYK111-100W-7.5W24845000224224042417
2026-03-27CHI131-113W-18.5L25153502216103221251423
2026-03-25@BOS109-119L-2.5L25832011049300034313
2026-03-21@WAS132-111W-21.5L1514131012610200010-518
2026-03-18@BKN121-92W-19.5W2310721010592001611719
2026-03-17@ORL113-108W-9.5L2816230021512355022-921
2026-03-15MIN116-103W-8.5W2711532021413422321119
2026-03-12BOS104-102W-8.5L3015460011610323131-125
2026-03-09DEN129-126W-3.5L29242310019164551111129
2026-01-21@MIL122-102W-12.5W25183220228122010311323
2026-01-19@CLE136-104W-6.5W255291030251120231716
2026-01-17@MIA120-122L-11.5L2815421051613622133-421
2026-01-15@HOU111-91W-4.5W2317531113710400140925
2026-01-13SAS119-98W-8.5W301164103048233244421
2026-01-11MIA124-112W-14.5L27164100108153002212221
2026-01-09@MEM117-116W-5.5L38233601229186350331532
2026-01-07UTA129-125W-19.5L3316253112515744021723
2026-01-05CHA97-124L-15.5L241132300249412211-516
2026-01-04@PHX105-108L-10.5L271323000149344022118
2026-01-02@GSW131-94W-13.5W2511262031571001122119
2025-12-31POR124-95W-15.5W2317631121441881511626
2025-12-29ATL140-129W-17.5L231014220038344014-1115
2025-12-28PHI129-104W-14.5W2013132002594120141617
2025-12-22MEM119-103W-15.5W2216922031713312364-127
2025-12-19@MIN107-112L-5.5L2314220000510244115-518
2025-12-18LAC122-101W-16.5W29167520117153111632528
2025-12-13SAS109-111L-10.5L24964201124144150219
2025-12-10PHX138-89W-15.5W19924121135222020915
2025-12-07@UTA131-101W-11.5W297240011254220223213
2025-12-05DAL132-111W-15.5W23902103137222003411
2025-12-02@GSW124-112W-11.5W3210431002463001301617
2025-11-30@POR123-115W-11.5L291755101159366054727
2025-11-28PHX123-119W-14.5L5001001003100000-21
2025-11-26MIN113-105W-10.5L2413230000591360211518
2025-11-23POR122-95W-16.5W2420142022882240112425
2025-11-21@UTA144-112W-16.5W25124421224103221332920
2025-11-19SAC113-99W-18.5L29133621404103550311422
2025-11-17@NOP126-109W-18.5L2611211000414434022-1814
2025-11-15@CHA109-96W-17.5L3114641131615411062-424
2025-11-12LAL121-92W-8.5W26143330316135111221820
2025-11-11GSW126-102W-7.5W3117321112613434033622
2025-11-09@MEM114-100W-10.5W3221643002815334062931
2025-11-07@SAC132-101W-11.5W311851031225122661412633
2025-11-05@POR119-121L-3.5L3121431050711177043-328
2025-11-04@LAC126-107W-8.5W2084340204101002223115
2025-11-02NOP137-106W-13.5W3010581020283681411923
2025-10-30WAS127-108W-15.5W3020122002615766013923
2025-10-28SAC107-101W-8.5L2418012043715711005719
2025-10-27@DAL101-94W-9.5L2717711020714433253-225
2025-10-25@ATL117-100W-8.5W2914772002614300253-128
2025-10-23@IND141-135W-7.5L38263410109193881221233
2025-10-21HOU125-124W-6.5L1516220103612611112220
2025-06-22 POSTIND103-91W-6.5W1000001000000000-40
2025-06-19 POST@IND91-108L-5.5L12214002014100010137
2025-06-08 POSTIND123-107W-11.5W3211000000022010-14
2025-06-05 POSTIND110-111L-10.5L4030000003100300-33
2025-05-28 POSTMIN124-94W-8.5W5210001011000010-43
2025-05-24 POST@MIN101-143L-2.5L1914011001611411002-1215
2025-05-20 POSTMIN114-88W-7.5W200100000000000061
2025-05-18 POSTDEN125-93W-8.5W8510001122100011-66
2025-05-15 POST@DEN107-119L-5.5L100000000100000000
2025-05-07 POSTDEN149-106W-10.5W131000101247200002210
2025-04-24 POST@MEM114-108W-9.5L211000000001201012
2025-04-20 POSTMEM131-80W-13.5W14512000126400012-18
2025-04-13@NOP115-100W-13.5W187120111310700104210
2025-04-11@UTA145-111W-8.5W189051000482120051114
2025-01-03NYK117-107W-4.5W13810000036022012-49
2025-01-02LAC116-98W-12.5W251123002136344111-816
2024-12-31MIN113-105W-6.5W1833000001431112226
2024-12-29MEM130-106W-8.5W22171310036115220132021
2024-12-28@CHA106-94W-13.5L321054001148211141719
2024-12-26@IND120-114W-5.5W16910100145201011110
2024-12-23WAS123-105W-17.5W22161221122673233922030
2024-12-20@MIA104-97W-1.5W13231003012100122-156
2024-12-19@ORL105-99W-6.5L951200111212201178
2024-12-17MIL81-97L-5.5L16522000015234020-49
2024-12-14HOU111-96W-5.5W922100000002202185
2024-12-10DAL118-104W-4.5W10212101013000102-85
2024-12-07@NOP119-109W-7.5W1910340110481220311117
2024-12-05@TOR129-92W-10.5W191303200169100004816
2024-12-03UTA133-106W-13.5W1752110112320011418
2024-12-01@HOU116-119L-1.5L7010001004100101-51
2024-11-29@LAL101-93W-2.5W1840010011331200114
2024-11-27@GSW105-101W-4.5L16210101018300102-43
2024-11-25@SAC130-109W-3.5W181301000157122001014
2024-11-20POR109-99W-13.5L2210412022483002211215
2024-11-19@SAS104-110L-9.5L1330110211110000244
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