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Keon Ellis

G · #1 · BKN · 2022-23 to 2026-27 · 239 games played
Minutes risk: Medium
Player vs team → Player vs player →

Minutes risk

Props depend on minutes. This section shows how steady his minutes have been and what happened in past situations where coaches tend to cut playing time. It's based on his last 20 games (last two seasons) and on his history. It describes the past and doesn't predict the future.

Minutes risk: MediumNext game 2026-10-25 vs IND · line +6.5 · 2nd night of back-to-back
  • Volatile: last 20: ±10.5 min std dev, 35% of games 6+ min under his median
16.9 ± 10.5Last-20 minutes per game (median 17.5, range 1–34, 10th pct 3.8)
15.6 / 11.4Last 5 / last 10 MPG · 2026-27 28.0 in 2 games
60% · 75% · 85%Last 20: share of games under 20 / 24 / 28 min · 35% were 6+ under his median

Minutes by game situation (last 2 seasons)

SituationGMPG
Final margin within 1519.2
Blowout (15+ either way)2819.2
Rested (1+ days off)18.2
2nd night of back-to-back1423.6
Team back-to-back 2nd nights: he sat1 of 15
DNPs listed as rest / injury management0 (0 on back-to-backs)
Started15% of games

Per-36 vs actual (last 20 games)

Per-36 numbers make bench players look better than they are. What counts for a prop is his real production at the minutes he actually plays.

PTSREBAST
Per 36 minutes10.94.02.4
Actual per game (16.9 min)5.11.91.1

Minutes distribution (last 2 seasons)

<1010–1515–2020–2424–2828–3232–3636–4040+

Last 30 games: minutes

Red = 6+ minutes under his median.

Returning from absences: minutes in the first 10 games back

Each row is one stretch of 2+ straight team games he missed. "Before" is his average over the 10 games before the absence. Game-by-game minutes after his return show how any restriction actually played out.

MissedReasonGamesBeforeG1G2G3G4G5G6G7G8G9G10G1 % of beforeG1–3 avg %
2026-01-16 → 2026-01-23Left knee; soreness51821222020117%117%
2023-11-20 → 2023-11-24Left ankle; sprain3126881715122826151950%61%
2023-03-24 → 2023-04-02G league - two-way65341365%145%
2023-03-09 → 2023-03-16G league - two-way544453413100%108%
2023-02-23 → 2023-03-04G league - two-way641445341323%69%

Minutes by season

SeasonTeamGMPGMedianStd dev<20 min<28 minB2BRestedBlowoutsClose
2026-27BKN228.028.08.50%50%–22.0–28.0
2025-26CLE3920.622.09.138%82%27.019.418.321.7
2025-26SAC4317.617.08.456%88%21.016.920.016.2
2024-25SAC8124.323.08.530%64%23.824.623.024.9
2023-24SAC5917.717.010.461%78%17.918.014.619.6
2022-23SAC154.64.04.3100%100%4.04.75.14.0

Season by season (per game)

SeasonTeamGGSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMPRA+/-FG%3P%FT%Team SUTeam ATS
2022-23SAC1504.61.60.50.40.30.10.10.42.5-1.443.85057.16-96-9
2023-24SAC572117.15.42.21.50.90.50.61.29.11.646.141.774.333-2430-27
2024-25SAC802824.48.32.61.51.50.80.91.712.50.848.943.384.939-4135-45
2025-26SAC43517.65.61.30.61.10.50.51.27.4-4.939.736.862.510-3316-27
2025-26CLE29624.98.32.81.61.30.80.71.312.72.349.135.581.621-811-18
2026-27BKN22286.522.51.50.51.51.511-5.535.733.3–0-21-1
Career2266220.06.62.11.31.20.60.71.410.0-0.146.440.677.8109-11799-127
Playoffs (career)1008.21.61.40.30.70.10.60.43.3-2.628.630.8803-73-7

Prop hit rates

How often he reached each number (games played only). Green = 60%+, red = 40% or less. Books set prop lines near the median, so a hit rate alone is not an edge; compare it with the line you're offered.

StatLineLast 10Last 202026-272025-26Career
PTS10+0/10 0%4/20 20%0/2 0%18/82 22%60/239 25%
PTS15+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%8/82 10%23/239 10%
PTS20+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%3/82 4%8/239 3%
PTS25+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/82 0%3/239 1%
PTS30+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/82 0%1/239 0%
REB4+1/10 10%2/20 10%0/2 0%9/82 11%44/239 18%
REB6+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/82 0%14/239 6%
REB8+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/82 0%3/239 1%
AST3+1/10 10%2/20 10%1/2 50%10/82 12%39/239 16%
AST5+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%1/82 1%9/239 4%
AST7+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%1/82 1%3/239 1%
3PM1+5/10 50%12/20 60%2/2 100%50/82 61%156/239 65%
3PM2+1/10 10%4/20 20%1/2 50%21/82 26%77/239 32%
3PM3+0/10 0%2/20 10%0/2 0%13/82 16%44/239 18%
3PM4+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%6/82 7%18/239 8%
3PM5+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%4/82 5%11/239 5%
PRA20+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%7/82 9%24/239 10%
PRA25+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%2/82 2%10/239 4%
PRA30+0/10 0%1/20 5%0/2 0%1/82 1%6/239 3%
PRA35+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/82 0%3/239 1%
PRA40+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%0/82 0%1/239 0%
STL1+5/10 50%13/20 65%2/2 100%51/82 62%147/239 62%
STL2+2/10 20%4/20 20%1/2 50%24/82 29%74/239 31%
BLK1+2/10 20%4/20 20%1/2 50%34/82 41%99/239 41%
BLK2+0/10 0%0/20 0%0/2 0%8/82 10%32/239 13%

Splits (per game)

SplitGTeam SUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
All games239113-12619.66.42.11.21.10.60.71.3
Last 10101-911.42.61.50.80.70.20.80.6
Last 20209-1116.95.11.91.10.80.20.70.9
2026-2720-2286.522.51.50.51.51.5
2025-268234-48196.01.80.91.10.60.61.2
Home11661-5520.36.82.21.31.20.60.71.4
Away12352-7119.06.02.01.21.10.60.71.2
Started6534-3128.79.43.12.21.70.81.01.9
Off the bench17479-9516.25.31.70.90.90.50.61.1
Team won113113-020.26.52.31.41.40.80.71.3
Team lost1260-12619.16.41.91.10.90.50.71.3
Team favored13181-5019.76.62.21.31.20.70.71.4
Team underdog10832-7619.56.22.01.21.10.60.71.3
Back-to-back (2nd night)4215-2721.47.221.21.20.50.61.4
1 day rest14574-7119.56.52.21.31.10.60.71.4
2+ days rest4823-25195.72.011.20.60.61.1
Playoffs103-78.21.61.40.30.70.10.60.4

Vs every opponent (per game)

OppGSUMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PM
DEN134-919.562.51.70.90.90.51.2
DAL126-6247.83.20.810.811.7
NOP126-618.27.42.10.80.90.40.41.5
PHX125-720.97.31.80.60.90.91.21.1
OKC112-924.79.52.81.91.410.92.3
UTA119-217.34.521.91.40.61.20.7
GSW106-4216.71.41.91.50.60.71
HOU106-411.24.21.30.40.70.20.11
LAL104-6175.81.80.510.30.41.2
NYK102-8164.51.50.70.70.40.40.9
DET94-513.83.81.80.40.90.10.60.7
MIN94-517.74.71.91.71.70.80.81.1
POR94-5215.92.71.22.40.61.61
BOS81-721.57.12.221.10.811.6
LAC82-621.23.91.81.10.50.80.90.9
MEM85-317.86.41.92.40.80.90.51.2
MIL83-521.28.83.51.810.10.82
SAS85-317.24.91.41.11.60.40.41.1
PHI73-420.37.41.60.910.60.41.9
TOR74-316.93.620.61.60.60.30.7
BKN65-1236.71.81.31.51.80.71.7
WAS64-217.85.22.211.20.50.51.3
ATL52-324.814.42.210.60.60.63.6
CHA54-119.84.61.81.60.60.80.41
CLE53-221.46.41.81.61.40.61.21.6
IND51-416.45.61.80.80.400.21.4
MIA54-129.810.82.81.620.40.41.6
ORL52-326.410.63.22.20.80.80.22.2
CHI42-22261.811.80.21.50.8
SAC11-0176333102

Team with him vs without him

SeasonTeamMPGWith: GW-LATSMarginWithout: GW-LATSMargin
2025-26CLE20.63924-1514-25+2.6106-45-2+2.2
2024-25SAC24.38139-4235-46+0.221-11-1+2.5

Best on-court partners (2025-26+)

Minutes together and net rating per 100 possessions (pbpstats).

WithSeasonMin+/-Net
James Harden2025-26417+51+6.1
DeMar DeRozan2025-26363-101-13.1
Nique Clifford2025-26338-97-12.8
Dennis Schroder2025-26330-19-1.9
Donovan Mitchell2025-26312+22+4.7
Maxime Raynaud2025-26297-80-13.5
Russell Westbrook2025-26283-53-10.3
Evan Mobley2025-26279+32+6.3
Dennis Schroder2025-26274-120-20.1
Sam Merrill2025-26263+81+15.0
Malik Monk2025-26242-59-8.9
Thomas Bryant2025-26224-24-4.2
Zach LaVine2025-26209-87-19.2
Jaylon Tyson2025-26167-10-2.6
Precious Achiuwa2025-26163-21-4.6
Max Strus2025-26151+10+3.1

Teammates he wins with (both started)

TeammateTeamGW-LATSMargin
Domantas SabonisSAC4927-2228-21+3.3
Keegan MurraySAC4624-2228-18+3.0
DeMar DeRozanSAC3215-1717-15-1.7
De'Aaron FoxSAC2614-1215-11+4.5
Harrison BarnesSAC2314-915-8+7.5
Zach LaVineSAC206-149-11-3.5

Injury history

Official NBA injury report entries (2021-22 onward) and whether he then played.

Game dateTeamStatusReasonPlayed?MINPTS
2026-04-12CLEOutLeft Knee; ContusionNo––
2026-03-15CLEAvailableLeft Index Finger; FractureYes315
2026-03-13CLEAvailableLeft Index Finger; FractureYes2613
2026-03-11CLEAvailableLeft Index Finger; FractureYes3120
2026-03-09CLEAvailableLeft Index Finger; FractureYes2619
2026-03-08CLEAvailableLeft Index Finger; FractureYes240
2026-03-01CLEAvailableLeft Index Finger; FractureYes314
2026-02-27CLEQuestionableLeft Index Finger; FractureNo––
2026-02-01CLEOutTrade Pending–––
2026-01-18SACOutLeft Knee; Soreness–––
2026-01-16SACQuestionableLeft Knee; Soreness–––
2025-12-14SACAvailable-No––
2025-10-29SACQuestionableLeft Shoulder; SorenessYes238
2025-04-07SACQuestionableRight Hand; SorenessYes372
2025-02-26SACAvailable-Yes3311
2025-01-19SACQuestionableRight Ankle; SprainYes1818
2023-11-28SACQuestionableLeft Ankle; SprainYes63
2023-11-24SACOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-22SACOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-11-20SACOutLeft Ankle; Sprain–––
2023-03-31SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-29SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-16SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-15SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-13SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-11SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-09SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-03-04SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-02-28SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-02-23SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-28SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-21SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-20SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-18SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-15SACAvailable-–––
2023-01-09SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-07SACOutG League - Two-WayNo––
2023-01-04SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2023-01-01SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-12-30SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-12-28SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-12-21SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-12-03SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-11-30SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-11-28SACOutG League - Two-WayNo––
2022-11-25SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-11-17SACOutG League - Two-WayYes20
2022-11-15SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-11-13SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-11-11SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-11-05SACOutG League - Two-Way–––
2022-10-31SACOutG League - Two-Way–––

Games missed while on the roster (54)

DateTeamOppBox score noteTeam
2026-05-11CLEDETDNPW
2026-05-09CLEDETCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-05-03CLETORCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-05-01CLETORCOACH'S DECISIONL
2026-04-29CLETORCOACH'S DECISIONW
2026-04-12CLEWASLEFT KNEE CONTUSIONW
2026-02-27CLEDETLEFT FINGERL
2026-01-23SACCLECOACH'S DECISIONL
2026-01-21SACTORCOACH'S DECISIONL
2026-01-20SACMIACOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-12-14SACMINCOACH'S DECISIONL
2025-11-22SACDENCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-12-03SACHOUCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-10-26SACLALCOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-03-04SACCHICOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-02-26SACMIACOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-02-25SACLACCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-02-22SACSASCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-02-07SACDETCOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-02-03SACCHICOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-02-02SACINDCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-31SACMIACOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-01-29SACMEMCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-27SACDALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-25SACGSWCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-22SACATLCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-16SACPHXCOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-01-14SACMILCOACH'S DECISIONL
2024-01-05SACTORCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-03SACORLCOACH'S DECISIONW
2024-01-02SACCHACOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-12-29SACATLCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-11-29SACLACCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-11-01SACGSWCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-10-29SACLALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-10-27SACGSWCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-04-05SACDALCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-04-02SACSASCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-03-25SACUTACOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-03-03SACLACCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-24SACLACCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-11SACDALCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-08SACHOUCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-02-03SACINDCOACH'S DECISIONL
2023-01-23SACMEMCOACH'S DECISIONW
2023-01-13SACHOUDNPW
2023-01-07SACLALCOACH'S DECISIONL
2022-12-16SACDETCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-14SACTORCOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-11SACNYKCOACH'S DECISIONL
2022-12-09SACCLECOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-12-04SACCHICOACH'S DECISIONW
2022-11-28SACPHXCOACH'S DECISIONL
2022-11-23SACATLCOACH'S DECISIONL

Game log (last 120 of 239 — full log in player vs team)

DateOppScoreSULineATSMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO3PMFGMFGA3PAFTMFTAOREBDREBPF+/-PRA
2026-10-24@CLE121-125L+11.5W22621202227600022-169
2026-10-21CHA103-110L+1.5L34724111137300112513
2026-05-25 POSTNYK93-130L+2.5L16521100113322021-208
2026-05-21 POST@NYK93-109L+5.5L100000000000000020
2026-05-19 POST@NYK104-115L+6.5L520000200002200162
2026-05-17 POST@DET125-94W+4.5W430000111110000113
2026-05-15 POSTDET94-115L-3.5L200110100000000001
2026-05-05 POST@DET101-111L+3.5L11330200114300121-56
2026-04-26 POST@TOR89-93L-4.5L4021000001100110-33
2026-04-23 POST@TOR104-126L-2.5L1504001100000013214
2026-04-20 POSTTOR115-105W-9.5W9000201004400002-30
2026-04-18 POSTTOR126-113W-8.5W15330100111101031-56
2026-04-10@ATL102-124L+8.5L19230001014200031-235
2026-04-08ATL122-116W-4.5W22511010114422011-27
2026-04-06@MEM142-126W-13.5W27193810037115230331530
2026-04-05IND117-108W-16.5L331350100359700142818
2026-04-02@GSW118-111W-10.5L22432100027200212-69
2026-03-31@LAL113-127L+2.5L19720101126422111-119
2026-03-30@UTA122-113W-16.5L32132121216103001131016
2026-03-27MIA149-128W-5.5W251002100245301005912
2026-03-25MIA103-120L-2.5L3717212001512766112-1320
2026-03-24ORL136-131W-10.5L2023011001100012225
2026-03-21@NOP111-106W-4.5W237211010263342031310
2026-03-19@CHI115-110W-9.5L27823314026344114-613
2026-03-17@MIL123-116W-12.5L24831000234200031812
2026-03-15DAL120-130L-14.5L31553012127500322-213
2026-03-13@DAL138-105W-13.5W2613311213595001211417
2026-03-11@ORL122-128L-3.5L312041110569834132125
2026-03-09PHI115-101W-14.5L2619201004597571132521
2026-03-08BOS98-109L-1.5L24030110001100124-153
2026-03-03DET113-109W+2.5W27742210025333136-513
2026-03-01@BKN106-102W-12.5L31432350025100122-59
2026-02-25@MIL116-118L-3.5L291443212459800221621
2026-02-24NYK109-94W-4.5W16401010023100002-75
2026-02-22@OKC113-121L-4.5L23913201147400012013
2026-02-20@CHA118-113W-5.5L244432110220000431911
2026-02-19BKN112-84W-15.5W20730130136400031-910
2026-02-11WAS138-113W-17.5W276431111243121311713
2026-02-09@DEN119-117W+2.5W2023111201540003326
2026-02-07@SAC132-126W-12.5L176333102244001212012
2026-02-04@LAC124-91W-2.5W1963020122540003139
2026-01-30@BOS93-112L+11.5L20622121224300112-410
2026-01-29@PHI111-113L+9.5W2010001102475000011010
2026-01-27@NYK87-103L+14.5L22311000114400011-25
2026-01-25@DET116-139L+12.5L211400001359612002-1114
2026-01-14NYK112-101W+10.5W500000000110000000
2026-01-12LAL124-112W+9.5W1230000011110000033
2026-01-11HOU111-98W+14.5W7010000000000011-31
2026-01-09@GSW103-137L+15.5L25521110114322111-168
2026-01-06DAL98-100L+4.5W2352031012840011127
2026-01-04MIL98-115L+6.5L5020000001100111-92
2026-01-02@PHX102-129L+13.5L3514301233411634033-1917
2026-01-01BOS106-120L+10.5L2716111013610612013-618
2025-12-30@LAC90-131L+9.5L19222011015300111-206
2025-12-28@LAL101-125L+12.5L22200010015200002-202
2025-12-27DAL113-107W+2.5W322110321581510000111122
2025-12-23DET127-136L+9.5W4010000002100100-41
2025-12-21HOU125-124W+12.5W9020010003100111-122
2025-12-20POR93-98L+4.5L1000000000000000320
2025-12-18@POR133-134L+8.5W321043603139633135717
2025-12-11DEN105-136L+10.5L31824411139713112-1414
2025-12-08@IND105-116L+3.5L1531000011330010044
2025-12-06@MIA127-111W+8.5W9310110113200010-24
2025-12-03@HOU95-121L+15.5L20000000004400002-170
2025-11-30MEM107-115L+3.5L600100000000200091
2025-11-28@UTA119-128L+2.5L7200000002224002-202
2025-11-26PHX100-112L+4.5L23621331225400020-99
2025-11-24MIN117-112W+9.5W500000100000000020
2025-11-20@MEM96-137L+3.5L16511010125300100-107
2025-11-19@OKC99-113L+18.5W11230101014200031-45
2025-11-16@SAS110-123L+6.5L15210000013200011-143
2025-11-14@MIN110-124L+11.5L22910411338700103-310
2025-11-12ATL100-133L+4.5L31200120167141100003-2321
2025-11-11DEN108-122L+8.5L1430012011110000333
2025-11-09MIN117-144L+4.5L12532000114222031010
2025-11-07OKC101-132L+11.5L12310000115400013-164
2025-11-05GSW121-116W-3.5W1702220100100002454
2025-11-03@DEN124-130L+11.5W251530000558800122-1218
2025-11-01@MIL135-133W+6.5W16311200112200101-25
2025-10-29@CHI113-126L+4.5L23811100136412101-710
2025-10-28@OKC101-107L+8.5W2712202102410522022514
2025-10-26LAL120-127L-2.5L1862120112541202629
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