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TB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South · Since 2016: 92-89 SU · 81-93-7 ATS (46.6%) · O/U 94-86-1
1-52026 straight up
1-4-12026 ATS · cover 20.0%
3-32026 over-under
#212026 net EPA/play rank (off #29, def #4)

2026 schedule & results

WkDateOppLineTotalMLScoreSUATSO/UQB vs QB
1Sep 13@CIN+3.550.5+17027-33LLOBaker Mayfield vs Joe BurrowH2H
2Sep 20CLE-8.541.5-42519-23LLOBaker Mayfield vs Deshaun WatsonH2H
3Sep 27MIN+1.542.5-10816-23LLUBaker Mayfield vs Kyler MurrayH2H
4Oct 04GB+3.038.5+13014-17LPUJalon Daniels vs Jordan LoveH2H
5Oct 08@DAL+9.549.5+40024-16WWUJalon Daniels vs Dak PrescottH2H
6Oct 18PIT+2.538.5+12019-26LLOJalon Daniels vs Aaron RodgersH2H
7Oct 25@CAR+3.044.5+140–––Jalon Daniels vs Bryce YoungH2H
8Nov 01ATL-1.544.5-118–––Jalon Daniels vs Michael Penix Jr.H2H
9Nov 08@CHI––––––H2H
11Nov 22@DET––––––H2H
12Nov 30CAR––––––H2H
13Dec 06LAC––––––H2H
14Dec 13@BAL––––––H2H
15Dec 20NO––––––H2H
16Dec 27@ATL––––––H2H
17Jan 03LA––––––H2H
18Jan 10@NO––––––H2H

Betting splits

SplitGSUWin%ATSCover%Avg ATS marginO/UOver%PFPA
All games61-516.7%1-4-120.0%-1.23-350.0%19.823.0
Regular season61-516.7%1-4-120.0%-1.23-350.0%19.823.0
Home40-40.0%0-3-10.0%-5.62-250.0%17.022.2
Away21-150.0%1-150.0%+7.51-150.0%25.524.5
Favorite10-10.0%0-10.0%-12.51-0100.0%19.023.0
Underdog51-420.0%1-3-125.0%+1.02-340.0%20.023.0
Fav by 7+10-10.0%0-10.0%-12.51-0100.0%19.023.0
Dog by 7+11-0100.0%1-0100.0%+17.50-10.0%24.016.0
Dog 3 or less30-30.0%0-2-10.0%-3.31-233.3%16.322.0
Non-division61-516.7%1-4-120.0%-1.23-350.0%19.823.0
Primetime11-0100.0%1-0100.0%+17.50-10.0%24.016.0
Dome / closed roof11-0100.0%1-0100.0%+17.50-10.0%24.016.0
Outdoors50-50.0%0-4-10.0%-5.03-260.0%19.024.4
Rest advantage10-10.0%0-10.0%-4.51-0100.0%19.026.0
Rest disadvantage10-10.0%0-0-1–+0.00-10.0%14.017.0
Short week (≤5 days)11-0100.0%1-0100.0%+17.50-10.0%24.016.0
After a win20-20.0%0-20.0%-3.52-0100.0%23.029.5
After a loss41-325.0%1-2-133.3%-0.11-325.0%18.219.8
After ATS cover10-10.0%0-10.0%-4.51-0100.0%19.026.0
After ATS loss40-40.0%0-3-10.0%-5.12-250.0%19.024.0

Season by season

SeasonGSUATSCover%O/UPF/GPA/GOff EPA/playDef EPA/playNet rankPlayoff G
202661-51-4-120.0%3-319.823.0-0.130 #29-0.087 #4#210
2025178-95-1229.4%8-922.424.2-0.009 #20+0.013 #17#200
20241810-810-855.6%12-629.022.7+0.130 #5+0.015 #17#81
20231910-912-763.2%7-1221.219.2-0.017 #14-0.024 #18#132
2022188-104-13-123.5%6-1218.221.6-0.038 #22-0.025 #12#171
20211914-510-952.6%11-829.920.9+0.137 #2-0.080 #4#22
20202015-512-860.0%11-930.821.6+0.119 #6-0.051 #6#44
2019167-95-9-235.7%12-428.628.1-0.005 #17-0.086 #6#90
2018165-117-7-250.0%9-724.829.0+0.039 #12+0.107 #30#230
2017165-116-9-140.0%8-820.923.9-0.004 #12+0.051 #30#200
2016169-79-756.2%7-8-122.123.1-0.001 #17+0.004 #14#200

Injury report — week 7

PlayerPosStatusInjuryPractice
Antoine Winfield Jr.SOutRibLimited Participation in Practice
Luke GoedekeTOutCalfLimited Participation in Practice
Emeka EgbukaWROutConcussionLimited Participation in Practice
Baker MayfieldQBQuestionableThumbFull Participation in Practice
Zyon McCollumCB–IllnessFull Participation in Practice
Benjamin MorrisonCB–QuadricepFull Participation in Practice
A'Shawn RobinsonDT–Not injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
Vita VeaDT–Not injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
Calijah KanceyDT–IllnessFull Participation in Practice
Cody MauchG–WristFull Participation in Practice
Chase McLaughlinK–IllnessFull Participation in Practice
Christian RozeboomLB–FingerDid Not Participate In Practice
Josiah TrotterLB–ShoulderFull Participation in Practice
Riley DixonP–IllnessFull Participation in Practice
Sean TuckerRB–QuadricepFull Participation in Practice
Bucky IrvingRB–IllnessFull Participation in Practice
Chris Godwin Jr.WR–Not injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
David SillsWR–HamstringFull Participation in Practice

2026 leaders

Record by starting QB

QBYearsGSUWin%ATSCover%O/UPFPA
Baker Mayfield2023–20265728-2949.1%27-3047.4%29-2824.022.2
Tom Brady2020–20225637-1966.1%26-29-147.3%27-2926.721.2
Jameis Winston2016–20195422-3240.7%23-27-446.0%28-25-124.125.3
Ryan Fitzpatrick2017–2018104-640.0%4-5-144.4%8-224.329.9
Jalon Daniels2026–202631-233.3%1-1-150.0%1-219.019.7
Blaine Gabbert2022–202210-10.0%0-10.0%1-017.030.0

Lineups that win together

Team record when these skill players each played ≥50% of offensive snaps in the same game (min 6 games for pairs, 8 for trios).

Player 1Player 2GW-LWin%ATSPPGMarginYears
Mike Evans WRChris Godwin WR9952-4753%48-4925.7+2.22017–2025
Chris Godwin WRCade Otton TE5324-2945%20-3121.6-0.72022–2026
Baker Mayfield QBCade Otton TE5326-2749%26-2723.4+1.22023–2026
Tom Brady QBMike Evans WR5235-1767%24-2727.0+5.22020–2022
Mike Evans WRJameis Winston QB4920-2941%22-2523.4-1.92016–2019
Mike Evans WRCade Otton TE4927-2255%22-2622.1+1.02022–2025
Mike Evans WRAdam Humphries WR4415-2934%18-2322.9-3.42016–2018
Tom Brady QBChris Godwin WR4328-1565%20-2227.2+4.72020–2022
Rachaad White RBCade Otton TE4221-2150%24-1822.5+0.32022–2025
Cameron Brate TEMike Evans WR4118-2344%19-2022.3-0.62016–2022
Mike Evans WRBaker Mayfield QB3923-1659%21-1824.4+4.12023–2025
Baker Mayfield QBRachaad White RB3819-1950%22-1623.2+1.32023–2025
Mike Evans WRO.J. Howard TE3716-2143%12-2326.4+0.22017–2021
Chris Godwin WRBaker Mayfield QB3717-2046%17-2023.2+1.12023–2026
Jameis Winston QBAdam Humphries WR3412-2235%15-1722.0-3.02016–2018
Tom Brady QBLeonard Fournette RB3422-1265%13-2025.3+3.62020–2022
Mike Evans WRLeonard Fournette RB3322-1167%13-1925.7+3.82020–2022
Mike Evans WRRachaad White RB3217-1553%18-1422.2+1.02022–2024
Tom Brady QBRob Gronkowski TE3224-875%19-1330.0+8.22020–2021
Chris Godwin WRRachaad White RB3016-1453%18-1221.9+0.52022–2025

Head-to-head vs every opponent (since 2016)

OppGSUATSCover%O/UAvg marginLast meeting
NO2110-118-1338.1%10-11-1.62025-12-07 L 20-24Full H2H →
ATL209-119-1145.0%15-5+0.82025-12-11 L 28-29Full H2H →
CAR2014-611-955.0%9-11+4.92026-01-03 W 16-14Full H2H →
DAL73-43-3-150.0%2-5-0.92026-10-08 W 24-16Full H2H →
DET73-43-442.9%2-5+3.62025-10-20 L 9-24Full H2H →
LA72-51-5-116.7%5-2-4.32025-11-23 L 7-34Full H2H →
PHI75-24-357.1%4-3+6.92025-09-28 L 25-31Full H2H →
SF73-45-271.4%3-4-1.72025-10-12 W 30-19Full H2H →
CHI64-24-266.7%3-3+9.02023-09-17 W 27-17Full H2H →
GB63-33-2-160.0%3-3+6.02026-10-04 L 14-17Full H2H →
NYG64-22-3-140.0%4-2+7.22024-11-24 W 30-7Full H2H →
ARI53-20-50.0%2-3-5.82025-11-30 W 20-17Full H2H →
KC52-34-180.0%2-3+1.02024-11-04 L 24-30Full H2H →
WAS52-31-420.0%2-3-0.22025-01-12 L 20-23Full H2H →
BUF41-32-1-166.7%3-1-3.82025-11-16 L 32-44Full H2H →
MIN42-22-250.0%1-3-2.22026-09-27 L 16-23Full H2H →
SEA43-13-175.0%2-2+2.82025-10-05 W 38-35Full H2H →
BAL30-31-233.3%2-1-7.72024-10-21 L 31-41Full H2H →
CIN30-31-233.3%3-0-6.72026-09-13 L 27-33Full H2H →
CLE31-20-30.0%1-2-2.32026-09-20 L 19-23Full H2H →
DEN31-21-233.3%0-3-7.02024-09-22 L 7-26Full H2H →
HOU31-22-0-1100.0%1-2-1.32025-09-15 W 20-19Full H2H →
IND32-11-1-150.0%3-0+1.02023-11-26 L 20-27Full H2H →
LAC33-02-166.7%2-0-1+12.32024-12-15 W 40-17Full H2H →
LV32-12-166.7%2-1+11.32024-12-08 W 28-13Full H2H →
MIA32-12-166.7%2-1+11.72025-12-28 L 17-20Full H2H →
NE31-20-30.0%1-2-2.72025-11-09 L 23-28Full H2H →
NYJ33-01-233.3%2-1+3.72025-09-21 W 29-27Full H2H →
PIT30-30-30.0%2-1-4.02026-10-18 L 19-26Full H2H →
JAX22-02-0100.0%0-2+17.52023-12-24 W 30-12Full H2H →
TEN21-11-150.0%1-1+5.02023-11-12 W 20-6Full H2H →

Game logs

WkDateOppScoreSULineATSTotalO/UQBWeather
6Oct 18PIT19-26L+2.5L38.5OJalon Danielsoutdoors
5Oct 08@DAL24-16W+9.5W49.5UJalon Danielsclosed
4Oct 04GB14-17L+3.0P38.5UJalon Danielsoutdoors · 86°F · 3 mph
3Sep 27MIN16-23L+1.5L42.5UBaker Mayfieldoutdoors · 84°F · 7 mph
2Sep 20CLE19-23L-8.5L41.5OBaker Mayfieldoutdoors · 86°F · 4 mph
1Sep 13@CIN27-33L+3.5L50.5OBaker Mayfieldoutdoors · 85°F · 7 mph