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ATL

Atlanta Falcons

NFC South · Since 2016: 81-95 SU · 76-98-2 ATS (43.7%) · O/U 85-91
2-42026 straight up
2-42026 ATS · cover 33.3%
4-22026 over-under
#192026 net EPA/play rank (off #21, def #16)

2026 schedule & results

WkDateOppLineTotalMLScoreSUATSO/UQB vs QB
1Sep 13@PIT+6.540.5+24013-20LLUCooper Rush vs Aaron RodgersH2H
2Sep 20CAR+2.543.5+1303-34LLUTua Tagovailoa vs Bryce YoungH2H
3Sep 24@GB+4.543.5+19035-14WWOMichael Penix Jr. vs Jordan LoveH2H
4Oct 05@NO+1.547.5-10245-24WWOMichael Penix Jr. vs Tyler ShoughH2H
5Oct 11BAL-3.544.5-17523-30LLOMichael Penix Jr. vs Tyler HuntleyH2H
6Oct 18CHI+1.551.5-10223-31LLOMichael Penix Jr. vs Caleb WilliamsH2H
7Oct 25SF+2.549.5+130–––Michael Penix Jr. vs Brock PurdyH2H
8Nov 01@TB+1.544.5-102–––Michael Penix Jr. vs Jalon DanielsH2H
9Nov 08CIN––––––H2H
10Nov 15KC––––––H2H
12Nov 29@MIN––––––H2H
13Dec 06DET––––––H2H
14Dec 13@CLE––––––H2H
15Dec 20@WAS––––––H2H
16Dec 27TB––––––H2H
17Jan 03NO––––––H2H
18Jan 10@CAR––––––H2H

Betting splits

SplitGSUWin%ATSCover%Avg ATS marginO/UOver%PFPA
All games62-433.3%2-433.3%+0.34-266.7%23.725.5
Regular season62-433.3%2-433.3%+0.34-266.7%23.725.5
Home30-30.0%0-30.0%-15.22-166.7%16.331.7
Away32-166.7%2-166.7%+15.82-166.7%31.019.3
Favorite10-10.0%0-10.0%-10.51-0100.0%23.030.0
Underdog52-340.0%2-340.0%+2.53-260.0%23.824.6
Dog 3 or less31-233.3%1-233.3%-4.22-166.7%23.729.7
Division games21-150.0%1-150.0%-3.01-150.0%24.029.0
Non-division41-325.0%1-325.0%+2.03-175.0%23.523.8
Primetime32-166.7%2-166.7%+12.53-0100.0%34.322.7
Dome / closed roof31-233.3%1-233.3%-4.22-166.7%23.729.7
Outdoors31-233.3%1-233.3%+4.82-166.7%23.721.3
Rest advantage11-0100.0%1-0100.0%+22.51-0100.0%45.024.0
Rest disadvantage10-10.0%0-10.0%-10.51-0100.0%23.030.0
Short week (≤5 days)11-0100.0%1-0100.0%+25.51-0100.0%35.014.0
After a win31-233.3%1-233.3%+3.82-166.7%27.024.7
After a loss31-233.3%1-233.3%-3.22-166.7%20.326.3
After ATS cover21-150.0%1-150.0%+6.02-0100.0%34.027.0
After ATS loss41-325.0%1-325.0%-2.52-250.0%18.524.8

Season by season

SeasonGSUATSCover%O/UPF/GPA/GOff EPA/playDef EPA/playNet rankPlayoff G
202662-42-433.3%4-223.725.5-0.057 #21-0.022 #16#190
2025178-99-852.9%8-920.823.6-0.021 #24-0.004 #15#190
2024178-96-1135.3%7-1022.924.9+0.034 #13+0.061 #27#190
2023177-105-1229.4%7-1018.921.9-0.099 #26-0.059 #11#220
2022177-108-8-150.0%7-1021.522.7+0.005 #14+0.080 #31#270
2021177-106-10-137.5%7-1018.427.0-0.098 #28+0.082 #29#280
2020164-127-943.8%7-924.825.9+0.021 #16+0.063 #21#200
2019167-98-850.0%7-923.824.9+0.004 #15+0.050 #22#200
2018167-95-1131.2%9-725.926.4+0.072 #8+0.084 #29#170
20171811-78-1044.4%5-1321.619.1+0.037 #8-0.008 #19#122
20161913-612-763.2%17-234.125.3+0.189 #1+0.054 #24#23

Injury report — week 7

PlayerPosStatusInjuryPractice
Billy Bowman Jr.CBOutHamstringDid Not Participate In Practice
Divine DeabloLBOutForearmDid Not Participate In Practice
Brian RobinsonRBOutHamstringDid Not Participate In Practice
Michael JerrellTOutBicepsDid Not Participate In Practice
Cameron WilliamsTOutAnkleLimited Participation in Practice
Beaux CollinsWROutHipFull Participation in Practice
C.J. HendersonCBQuestionableGroinFull Participation in Practice
A.J. TerrellCBQuestionableGroinFull Participation in Practice
Avieon TerrellCBQuestionableBackLimited Participation in Practice
Za'Darius SmithDEQuestionableNeckFull Participation in Practice
Samson EbukamDEQuestionableHamstringLimited Participation in Practice
Gervon Dexter Sr.DTQuestionableHamstringLimited Participation in Practice
Kendal DanielsLBQuestionableNeckFull Participation in Practice
Olamide ZaccheausWRQuestionableShoulderLimited Participation in Practice
Cameron ThomasDE–GroinFull Participation in Practice
Jake MatthewsT–Not injury related - resting playerLimited Participation in Practice
Jawaan TaylorT–Not injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice

2026 leaders

Record by starting QB

QBYearsGSUWin%ATSCover%O/UPFPA
Matt Ryan2016–202110149-5248.5%45-55-145.0%52-4925.024.7
Kirk Cousins2024–20252212-1054.5%9-1340.9%9-1321.024.5
Desmond Ridder2022–2023178-947.1%6-1135.3%5-1217.720.2
Marcus Mariota2022–2022135-838.5%6-6-150.0%6-722.224.0
Michael Penix2025–202593-633.3%5-455.6%4-520.622.8
Michael Penix Jr.2024–202673-442.9%3-442.9%6-131.725.7
Taylor Heinicke2023–202341-325.0%1-325.0%3-124.225.8
Matt Schaub2019–201910-10.0%1-0100.0%0-120.027.0
Cooper Rush2026–202610-10.0%0-10.0%0-113.020.0
Tua Tagovailoa2026–202610-10.0%0-10.0%0-13.034.0

Lineups that win together

Team record when these skill players each played ≥50% of offensive snaps in the same game (min 6 games for pairs, 8 for trios).

Player 1Player 2GW-LWin%ATSPPGMarginYears
Matt Ryan QBJulio Jones WR7038-3254%33-3726.5+2.02016–2020
Matt Ryan QBAustin Hooper TE5530-2555%24-3125.5+2.12016–2019
Matt Ryan QBMohamed Sanu WR5529-2653%23-3226.2+1.62016–2019
Julio Jones WRMohamed Sanu WR5327-2651%21-3225.7+0.72016–2019
Julio Jones WRAustin Hooper TE5227-2552%22-3024.7+0.62016–2019
Kyle Pitts TEDrake London WR5223-2944%22-3021.4-2.12022–2026
Kyle Pitts TEBijan Robinson RB4921-2843%19-3021.0-2.82023–2026
Drake London WRBijan Robinson RB4921-2843%18-3121.2-2.32023–2026
Mohamed Sanu WRAustin Hooper TE4623-2350%17-2925.0+0.72016–2019
Matt Ryan QBCalvin Ridley WR4614-3230%15-3124.0-2.82018–2021
Matt Ryan QBDevonta Freeman RB4424-2055%20-2426.0+2.02016–2019
Julio Jones WRDevonta Freeman RB4324-1956%21-2226.2+2.22016–2019
Mohamed Sanu WRDevonta Freeman RB3619-1753%15-2125.7+1.32016–2019
Matt Ryan QBRussell Gage WR3514-2140%16-1822.1-3.52019–2021
Devonta Freeman RBAustin Hooper TE3417-1750%14-2023.7+0.52016–2019
Julio Jones WRCalvin Ridley WR3110-2132%10-2124.6-2.52018–2020
Darnell Mooney WRBijan Robinson RB3014-1647%13-1720.9-3.02024–2025
Austin Hooper TECalvin Ridley WR259-1636%8-1724.4-2.52018–2019
Darnell Mooney WRKyle Pitts TE2511-1444%11-1420.4-4.72024–2025
Darnell Mooney WRDrake London WR2411-1346%10-1421.0-2.32024–2025

Head-to-head vs every opponent (since 2016)

OppGSUATSCover%O/UAvg marginLast meeting
CAR2112-911-1052.4%9-12+3.02026-09-20 L 3-34Full H2H →
NO2110-119-1242.9%9-12-0.82026-10-05 W 45-24Full H2H →
TB2011-911-955.0%15-5-0.82025-12-11 W 29-28Full H2H →
SEA83-55-362.5%6-2-5.92025-12-07 L 9-37Full H2H →
GB75-23-442.9%6-1+4.12026-09-24 W 35-14Full H2H →
ARI64-23-350.0%4-2+8.32025-12-21 W 26-19Full H2H →
MIN62-42-433.3%3-3-2.02025-09-14 W 22-6Full H2H →
PHI62-42-433.3%0-6-6.82024-09-16 W 22-21Full H2H →
WAS62-42-433.3%4-2+1.22025-09-28 W 34-27Full H2H →
CHI52-30-4-10.0%4-1-4.62026-10-18 L 23-31Full H2H →
DAL52-33-260.0%1-4-3.62024-11-03 W 27-21Full H2H →
LA53-24-180.0%3-2+2.62025-12-29 W 27-24Full H2H →
SF53-23-260.0%2-3+4.22025-10-19 L 10-20Full H2H →
DET42-21-325.0%1-3-1.82023-09-24 L 6-20Full H2H →
LAC40-40-40.0%1-3-3.22024-12-01 L 13-17Full H2H →
NE40-41-325.0%2-2-12.02025-11-02 L 23-24Full H2H →
NYJ43-12-250.0%3-1+3.52025-11-30 L 24-27Full H2H →
PIT40-40-40.0%1-3-10.52026-09-13 L 13-20Full H2H →
BAL30-30-30.0%1-2-8.32026-10-11 L 23-30Full H2H →
BUF31-21-1-150.0%0-3-3.32025-10-13 W 24-14Full H2H →
DEN32-12-166.7%1-2-6.02024-11-17 L 6-38Full H2H →
IND31-22-166.7%2-1+3.32025-11-09 L 25-31Full H2H →
JAX32-12-166.7%0-3+1.02023-10-01 L 7-23Full H2H →
KC30-31-233.3%1-2-3.02024-09-22 L 17-22Full H2H →
LV33-02-166.7%1-2+16.72024-12-16 W 15-9Full H2H →
MIA31-21-233.3%1-2-8.32025-10-26 L 10-34Full H2H →
NYG33-02-166.7%0-3+11.02024-12-22 W 34-7Full H2H →
CIN20-20-20.0%2-0-9.52022-10-23 L 17-35Full H2H →
CLE21-11-150.0%0-2-4.52022-10-02 W 23-20Full H2H →
HOU21-10-20.0%1-1-9.52023-10-08 W 21-19Full H2H →
TEN20-20-20.0%1-1-9.52023-10-29 L 23-28Full H2H →

Game logs

WkDateOppScoreSULineATSTotalO/UQBWeather
6Oct 18CHI23-31L+1.5L51.5OMichael Penix Jr.closed
5Oct 11BAL23-30L-3.5L44.5OMichael Penix Jr.open
4Oct 05@NO45-24W+1.5W47.5OMichael Penix Jr.dome
3Sep 24@GB35-14W+4.5W43.5OMichael Penix Jr.outdoors · 61°F · 5 mph
2Sep 20CAR3-34L+2.5L43.5UTua Tagovailoaclosed
1Sep 13@PIT13-20L+6.5L40.5UCooper Rushoutdoors · 77°F · 4 mph